Predictions › World Russia & Ukraine odds Every Russia & Ukraine market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
239 open markets · $13.1M traded today Trending russia & ukraine markets
October 31 >99% November 30 >99% ▲ 11 December 31 >99% ▲ 7
December 31, 2026 2% June 30, 2027 9% ▼ 1
January 31, 2027 25% ▼ 1 February 28, 2027 29% March 31, 2027 36% April 30, 2027 43% ▲ 1 11 more May 31, 2027 44% ▲ 2 June 30, 2027 44% ▲ 2 July 31, 2027 44% ▼ 3 August 31, 2027 44% ▼ 4 September 30, 2027 44% ▼ 2 October 31 44% October 31, 2027 44% November 30, 2027 44% November 30 44% ▲ 1 December 31 44% ▼ 1 December 31, 2027 69%
October 31 <1% November 15 1% November 30 3% ▼ 1 December 31 12% ▲ 1
China 88% ▲ 1 No meeting by December 31 10% ▼ 2 United States 1% Russia 1% ▲ 1 11 more Other <1% Belarus <1% Turkey <1% Finland <1% Switzerland <1% Gulf country <1% South Korea <1% Japan <1% Australia <1% Other EU country <1% Ukraine <1%
March 31, 2027 19% ▼ 2 June 30, 2027 19% ▼ 3 October 31 19% November 30 19% ▼ 1 1 more
No meeting before 2027 96% US 2% ▲ 1 Qatar / UAE 1% China <1% 10 more Turkey <1% Russia <1% Italy / Vatican <1% Saudi Arabia <1% Belarus <1% Switzerland <1% Kazakhstan <1% Ukraine <1% Hungary <1% India <1%
December 31 8% ▼ 3 March 31, 2027 22% December 31, 2027 42%
June 30, 2027 4% ▼ 1 December 31 4%
October 31 <1% November 30 98% ▲ 1 December 31 98% ▲ 1
Druzkhivka 17% Kramatorsk 6% ▲ 1 Sloviansk 5% ▼ 1 Kherson 3% 3 more Zaporizhia 2% Sumy 2% Kharkiv 1%
UAE 99% ▲ 2 No Talks by December 31, 2027 1% ▼ 2 Turkey <1% USA <1% 25 more Switzerland <1% Hungary <1% China <1% Russia <1% Ukraine <1% Germany <1% Saudi Arabia <1% Qatar <1% Vatican City <1% Italy <1% Austria <1% Slovakia <1% Finland <1% Belarus <1% Kazakhstan <1% India <1% Poland <1% Serbia <1% Azerbaijan <1% Egypt <1% Brazil <1% South Africa <1% Other - Europe <1% Other - Middle East/North Africa <1% Other <1%
December 31, 2026 2% December 31, 2027 18%
October 31 >99% ▲ 3 December 31 >99% ▲ 2
March 31, 2027 16% ▼ 2 June 30, 2027 16% ▼ 1 December 31 16%
October 31 <1% November 30 89% ▲ 2 December 31 89% ▲ 1
Mark Rutte 45% ▲ 8 Ursula von der Leyen 28% ▼ 2 Mark Carney 7% António Guterres 7% 4 more Emmanuel Macron 5% JD Vance 4% Melania Trump 3% ▼ 7 Donald Trump 2% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions