Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
No meeting before 2027
96%
96¢
96¢
$1.04
$509K
US
2%
▲ 1
2¢
3¢
$37.04
$538K
Qatar / UAE
1%
1¢
1¢
$538K
China
<1%
0¢
0¢
$167K
Turkey
<1%
0¢
0¢
$297K
Russia
<1%
0¢
0¢
$278K
Italy / Vatican
<1%
0¢
0¢
$164K
Saudi Arabia
<1%
0¢
0¢
$226K
Belarus
<1%
0¢
0¢
$377K
Switzerland
<1%
0¢
0¢
$272K
Kazakhstan
<1%
0¢
0¢
$191K
Ukraine
<1%
0¢
$27K
Hungary
<1%
0¢
$164K
India
<1%
0¢
$275K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump says ‘hatred’ between Zelensky, Putin is main obstacle to ending warThe Hill · 29 h agoPresident Trump said during a Sunday appearance on “60 minutes” that the “hatred between Zelensky and Putin” is one of the primary obstacles toward resolving the Russia-Ukraine war. CBS News’s Ross Douthat questioned Trump about his…
PUTIN'S FATAL MISTAKE: Gen Keane explains why Russian casualties are so highFox News · 13 h agoGeneral Jack Keane (ret.) joins Stuart Varney to discuss reports of high Russian military casualties in Ukraine. PUTIN'S FATAL MISTAKE: Gen Keane explains why Russian casualties are so high General Jack Keane (ret.) joins Stuart Varney to…
The U.S. Must Reject Russian Narratives on UkraineNational Review · 23 h agoThe Pentagon’s Best Space Weapon Isn’t a Program — It’s a Prize Trump and Netanyahu Need to Choose Victory on Iran Why the U.S. Should Rethink a Freeze on Taiwan Arms Sales What Trump Can Learn from Reagan’s Military Buildup A church…
Russia and Ukraine Keep Ignoring Donald TrumpNewsweek · 10 h agoNov 09, 2026 at 12:27 PM EST Russia and Ukraine traded strikes on each other's energy infrastructure into Monday, targeting sites President Donald Trump had decreed last month—without Kyiv and Moscow's agreement—to be off limits. The…
Russia Brings In Gas Restrictions After Ukraine StrikesNewsweek · 11 h agoNov 09, 2026 at 10:51 AM EST Russia has imposed fuel restrictions in at least eight Russian regions after fresh Ukrainian strikes on the country's oil sector on the eve of a new round of U.S.-brokered peace talks between Moscow and Kyiv. A…
US to push Russia to accept NATO-like guarantees for UkraineWashington Examiner · 11 h agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
General Jack Keane explains why Russian casualties are so high in UkraineFox Business · 14 h agoMassive Russian military casualties in the Ukraine war are analyzed by retired General Jack Keane. Speaking with Stuart Varney, Keane explains that poor tactics and untrained soldiers lead to devastating losses, referencing historical…
Russia rations fuel as Ukraine resumes strikes on refineriessemafor.com · 10 h agoRussia’s state-owned oil group began rationing supplies at gas stations across the country after Ukraine resumed its strikes against energy targets. Russiaâs state-owned oil group began rationing supplies at gas stations across the…
Zelenskiy speaks to Modi ahead of Ukraine-Russia talksReuters · 17 h agoPresident Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Monday spoke âto India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi ahead of trilateral talks with Russia and the US âin Abu Dhabi. Reporting by Yuliia Dysa, Sakshi âDayal Editing by Peter Graff and Tomasz Janowski…
Zelensky ‘thankful’ for Melania Trump’s Russia-Ukraine peace efforts | CNNCNN · 3 days agoUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky tells CNN's Jake Tapper he is "thankful" for first lady Melania Trump's ceasefire efforts, specifically her White House event between both Russian and Ukrainian officials. The Metropolitan Police…
The Ukrainians who made it out of their Russian-occupied city – podcastthe Guardian · 5 h agoLast month, Melania Trump helped broker a temporary ceasefire that allowed hundreds of Ukrainians to be evacuated from Oleshky. But as talks on ending the war resume in Abu Dhabi, what are the prospects for a more lasting peace?Last month…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions