U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?
99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 84
- December 3199%▲ 23
Install
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
The odds
4%December 31
- December 314%
How the odds have moved
December 31: 9% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $421K | |||
| June 30 | <1% | 0¢ | $1.1M | |||
| December 31 | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | $8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Miguel Díaz-Canel, Cuba
Search ›- Miguel Díaz-Canel Asserts 'Cuba Will Not Give Up Its Sovereignty'Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel once again vowed that the Caribbean island nation will not relinquish its autonomy. “Cuba will not give up its sovereignty or its right to development,” the Cuban Embassy in the U.S. wrote on X. “Following…
- Trump's Bold Promise on Cuba Sparks Skepticism and Irony Among CubansSunday, November 1, 2026 by Emma Garcia Donald Trump's recent vow that no member of the Castro family will hold power in Cuba by the end of his presidency has triggered a wave of reactions among readers of CiberCuba. Many comments shared a…
- Cubans Challenge Díaz-Canel's Hospital Visit: "Did You See the Restrooms, the Ambulances?"Saturday, October 31, 2026 by Edward Lopez On Saturday, Miguel Díaz-Canel shared a video on X, boasting about his visit to the William Soler Pediatric University Hospital in Boyeros, Havana. However, the Cuban public's reaction was swift…
- The American Government’s Shameful Economic Warfare Against CubaOn May 18, President Miguel Díaz-Canel responded by stating that, . . .the threats of military aggression against Cuba by the world’s most powerful nation are well known. The threat itself constitutes a violation of international law. If…
- “Did they take you to the bathrooms, did you see the ambulances?”: Cubans confront Díaz-Canel after he boasts about his visit to William Soler HospitalCiberCuba “Did they take you to the bathrooms, did you see the ambulances?”: Cubans confront Díaz-Canel after he boasts about his visit to William Soler Hospital By CiberCuba Editorial Team Saturday, October 31, 2026 - 3:03 PM Miguel…
- Cuba Thanks the 130 Countries that Voted Against the U.S. Blockade at the UNCuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel expressed gratitude for the international solidarity shown in the vote on the resolution demanding an end to the U.S. blockade against Cuba—which received the backing of 130 countries—while denouncing the…
- Trump’s Cuban Revolution Is Stuck in LimboNov 02, 2026 at 05:22 AM EST Time travel doesn’t exist as far as we know, but take a visit to Cuba and you’ll certainly feel like you’re stepping into history. The U.S. has maintained an economic embargo on the island just 90 miles off its…
- 11/1/2026: Michigan Senate Race; Cuba in Crisis; WembyCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. 11/1/2026: Michigan…
- Cuba in Crisis | Sunday on 60 MinutesThis Sunday, 60 Minutes' Matt Gutman travels to Cuba to report on a country in freefall. The Trump administration imposed new economic sanctions that it says target Cuba's corrupt communist regime, restricting its oil supply and access to…
- 60 Minutes Transcript: Intense U.S. pressure deepens Cuba's humanitarian, economic crisisNovember 1, 2026 / 7:45 PM EST / CBS News Cuba has been under communist rule since the 1960s. The Cuban government employs most of the country's workers and runs the hospitals and schools. opposition parties are illegal. For decades, a…
- Waltz reveals new details about fiery clash with Cuban diplomat at UNU.S. ambassador Mike Waltz discusses the security warning issued by the U.S. embassy in Moscow and details his heated exchange at the United Nations with a Cuban diplomat. Waltz reveals new details about fiery clash with Cuban diplomat at…
- Cuba increasingly isolated from the global economy amid tough new U.S. sanctionsCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Inside Cuba under…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions