CO-04 House Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › House For Tue 11:59 PM ET · $4.9K today · $167K traded · $21.2K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

99%Eileen Laubacher (D)

Eileen Laubacher (D)99%
Lauren Boebert (R)1%

How the odds have moved

Eileen Laubacher (D): 25% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Eileen Laubacher (D)	99%		99¢	100¢		$97K
Lauren Boebert (R)	1%		0¢	1¢	$83.33	$70.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: CO- House

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US REPRESENTATIVE DIST 1 - IDAHOKXLY kxly.com · 6 days agoKXLY.com Local news coverage from KXLY+ Good Morning Northwest at 6 November 2, 2026 Good Morning Northwest at 6 November 3, 2026 RAW: CO: HOUSE SWEPT DOWN RIVER, SMASHED INTO BRIDGE (ON CAM) One person killed in shooting outside Spokane…
FOOTBALL-NCAA/AppleValleyNewsNow.com · 6 days agoAppleValleyNewsNow.com Watch Apple Valley News Now+ RAW: CO: HOUSE SWEPT DOWN RIVER, SMASHED INTO BRIDGE (ON CAM) RAW: ELECTION DAY STORMS SOAK CENTRAL US Previewing the race for Oregonâs 2nd congressional district in the todayâs…
RAW: ELECTION DAY STORMS SOAK CENTRAL USAppleValleyNewsNow.com · 6 days agoAppleValleyNewsNow.com Watch Apple Valley News Now+ RAW: CO: HOUSE SWEPT DOWN RIVER, SMASHED INTO BRIDGE (ON CAM) RAW: ELECTION DAY STORMS SOAK CENTRAL US Previewing the race for Oregonâs 2nd congressional district in the todayâs…
FOOTBALL-NFL-SEA-CHI/AppleValleyNewsNow.com · 6 days agoAppleValleyNewsNow.com Watch Apple Valley News Now+ RAW: CO: HOUSE SWEPT DOWN RIVER, SMASHED INTO BRIDGE (ON CAM) RAW: ELECTION DAY STORMS SOAK CENTRAL US Previewing the race for Oregonâs 2nd congressional district in the todayâs…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

MeasuredNov 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Trading closesNov 11, 2026 8:06 AM ET

Traded$167K

Today$4.9K

This week$52.7K

At stake$21.2K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions