NC-03 House winner?
85%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.85%▲ 1
- Greg Murphy15%
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FL-26 House Election Winner
The odds
>99%Mario Díaz-Balart (R)
- Mario Díaz-Balart (R)>99%▲ 1
- Nicole Locklin (D)<1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Mario Díaz-Balart (R): 90% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 11 PM ETMario Díaz-Balart (R): 92% → 97%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Díaz-Balart (R) | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $94.4K | |
| Nicole Locklin (D) | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $89.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House
Search ›- Democrats cut GOP majority in FL House despite Republicans sweeping statewide racesTALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV/Gray Florida Capital Bureau) - Florida Republicans swept all statewide races on Tuesday, but, down ballot, Democrats cut the GOP’s majority in the Florida House to its smallest in decades. Florida was largely…
- ✅See live election results from the Florida District 27 raceNBC 6 South Florida ✅See live election results from the Florida District 27 race Maria Elvira Salazar and Eliott Rodriguez are vying for a U.S. House seat. The NBC6 South Florida News streaming channel plays local South Florida news 24…
- ✅Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz projected winner for Florida District 20 race for U.S. House✅See live election results from the Florida District 20 race for U.S. House NBC 6 South Florida ✅Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz projected winner for Florida District 20 race for U.S. House Debbie Wasserman Schultz is projected to defeated…
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>99%Eli Crane (R)
- Eli Crane (R)>99%▲ 2
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions