Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Polymarket World › China & Taiwan Closes Dec 31 · $10 today · $269K traded · $43.9K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

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The odds

7%Dong Jun
  • Dong Jun7%▲ 4
  • Li Xi4%
  • Wang Yi3%
  • Wang Huning3%
  • Li Qiang3%
  • Zhao Leji2%
  • Cai Qi2%
  • Ding Xuexiang2%
  • Zhang Shengmin2%

How the odds have moved

Dong Jun: 4% on Oct 20, 7% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Dong Jun 7% ▲ 4 6¢ 8¢ $12.05 $51.9K
Li Xi 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 $31.6K
Wang Yi 3% 2¢ 4¢ $22.73 $16.2K
Wang Huning 3% 2¢ 4¢ $27.03 $14.5K
Li Qiang 3% 1¢ 4¢ $27.03 $13.7K
Zhao Leji 2% 2¢ 3¢ $34.48 $16K
Cai Qi 2% 1¢ 2¢ $45.45 $61.4K
Ding Xuexiang 2% 1¢ 2¢ $41.67 $29.6K
Zhang Shengmin 2% 1¢ 2¢ $52.63 $34.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: China, Taiwan, Xi Jinping

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  • China confirms discussions on a trilateral meeting between Xi Jinping, Trump, and Putin.vietnam.vn · 3 days agoChina has for the first time confirmed it is discussing a historic meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping, US President Donald Trump, and Russian President Vladimir Putin. According to Xinhua and Al Jazeera, speaking at a press…
  • Xi Jinping Cleans House in ChinaThe Epoch Times · 4 days agoFor the last two years, Chinese Communist Party leader Xi Jinping has been working relentlessly to dismantle the political network that had previously controlled China. That group’s power is now effectively broken—though observers are…
  • Xi Jinping votes in local legislative election in Beijing@CGTNOfficial · 4 days agoCGTN Xi Jinping votes in local legislative election in Beijing Chinese President Xi Jinping casts his ballot at a polling station in Beijing to elect deputies to a local people's congress, November 6, 2026. /Xinhua Chinese President Xi…
  • President Xi Jinping casts vote in Beijing local Congress electionDaily Pioneer · 3 days agoDaily Pioneer In a rare outing, Chinese President Xi Jinping cast his ballot at a polling station in Beijing on Friday to elect deputies to a local people’s congress.President Xi, who is also general secretary of the Communist Party of…
  • Fact Check: Did Xi Jinping blast Trump for appointing Stephen Miller as WH chief of staff?MEAWW News · 2 days agoWASHINGTON, DC: After President Donald Trump announced Stephen Miller as the White House chief of staff, a claim began circulating on social media platforms that Chinese President Xi Jinping blasted Trump for Miller’s appointment. The…
  • One China, no Tibetans: Xi Jinping’s sinister agenda behind ethnic unity push@firstpost · 4 days agoXi’s latest law raises a fundamental question: can a country achieve unity by denying its people the freedom to preserve their identities? For the new law on ethnic unity and progress imposed by Xi Jinping could trigger or risk worsening…
  • Who Will Succeed Xi Jinping?Foreign Policy · 4 days agoAnalysis: Who Will Succeed Xi Jinping? Ever since Xi Jinping bucked norms and made it clear he would not be held to a two-term limit as president of China and general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), there has been intense…
  • Transcript: How Xi Jinping Really Thinks w/ China Expert Kevin Ruddsingjupost.com · 3 days agoALASTAIR CAMPBELL: (00:00:00 – 00:00:08) I last saw you, Kevin, at a conference in Hong Kong where I overheard you talking what sounded to me like fluent Mandarin. KEVIN RUDD: (00:00:08 – 00:00:09) I’d just been drinking a lot. ALASTAIR…
  • China Expands Xi Jinping’s Anti-Graft Drive With New Cross-Border Corruption LawThe China-Global South Project · 4 days agoThe China-Global South Project - China adopts new law to combat cross-border corruption, deepen international cooperation, and safeguard national sovereignty and security, reported Xinhua. - Li Xi wrote in the People's Daily that the law…
  • President Xi Jinping meets with Austrian Chancellor Stocker in Beijing@CGTNOfficial · 4 days agoCGTN President Xi Jinping meets with Austrian Chancellor Stocker in Beijing Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Austrian Chancellor Christian Stocker in Beijing on Friday. Stocker is on an official visit to China from November 2 to 7.
  • Xi Jinping replies to young Australian students@CGTNOfficial · 4 days agoCGTN Xi Jinping replies to young Australian students Chinese President Xi Jinping recently replied to 110 young Australian students who had written to him, encouraging them to remain committed to promoting the China-Australia friendship.
  • The perils of Xi Jinping’s purgetovima.com · 4 days agoAs regional conflicts rage and revisionist powers challenge the established order, warnings of a new global conflagration are growing louder At a seminar in Beijing in July, scholars in economics and international relations had a…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions