Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
4%chance▲ 2
Install
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
The odds
10%chance▲ 3
How the odds have moved
Yes: 13% on Oct 20, 10% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | ▲ 3 | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $17.5M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iran, Strait of Hormuz
Search ›- Iran conflict intensifies in Strait of Hormuz'The Sunday Panel' breaks down midterm elections, Trump's new appointment in the WH and the ongoing tensions in Iran. Iran conflict intensifies in Strait of Hormuz 'The Sunday Panel' breaks down midterm elections, Trump's new appointment…
- Strait of Hormuz could reopen as part of Qatari plan for Iran nuclear inspectionsTrump still considering new assault on Iran nuclear sites – though threats less credible after Vance remarks Qatar, the lead mediator in the US-Iran conflict, is seeking to persuade Tehran to allow UN nuclear weapons inspectors to visit…
- Iran says 7 tankers damaged in Strait of HormuzIran’s state television reported on Thursday that seven oil tankers were either struck by attacks or hit naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz overnight, possibly the largest single-day number of vessels damaged in the waterway since the…
- Strait of Hormuz reopening: Iran says 2-day fast-track plan remains on tableIran confirms its 2-day proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz remains on the table, contingent on the US meeting Tehran's terms. - Strait of Hormuz reopening: Iran says 2-day fast-track plan remains on table Iran confirms its 2-day…
- Iran says navigational systems destroyed in southern Strait of HormuzIranian state media on Monday reported that navigational aid systems in the southern Strait of Hormuz had been destroyed, adding that no unauthorised vessels had crossed the maritime route overnight. The information was attributed to an…
- Accepting Iran’s Demands Would Restore Security In Strait Of Hormuz: BaqaeiMian Nadeem Published November 09, 2026 | 03:18 PM In case of aggression by the enemy, a crushing response will be given, and a navigation aid system south of the Strait of Hormuz has been destroyed—the Revolutionary Guards. He said Iran…
- US and Iran Consider $8 Billion Deal to Reopen Strait of HormuzQadir Ak is the founder of Coinpedia. He has over a decade of experience writing about technology and has been covering the blockchain and cryptocurrency space since 2010. He has also interviewed a few prominent experts within the…
- “Strait of Hormuz gives Iran strategic leverage,” says Iranian officialTehran: Secretary of the Expediency Council’s secretariat in Iran Abbas-Ali Kadkhodaei on Sunday underlined that the Strait of Hormuz gives Iran strategic leverage in global affairs. Speaking at a meeting on governance, legislative, and…
- Iran says no unauthorized vessels transited Strait of Hormuz overnight after navigation aids destroyedIran reports that no unauthorized vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz overnight following the destruction of navigation aids, according to an unnamed Navy official. Iran says no unauthorized vessels transited Strait of Hormuz…
- Iran allows ship carrying fertiliser for SL to pass Strait of HormuzPakistan pace gamble could play into Sri Lanka’s hands Manamperi, Fernando clinch SLTA YETI Hard Courts titles Mahinda reach Under 19 Division I Tier A final Lahiru’s seven-wicket haul guides Christ King to title Tennis world number one…
- IRGC Says Tanker Transit Halted in Southern Strait of HormuzNumber of Vendors seeking consent or relying on legitimate interest: 182 These means of processing can be used solely in pursuit of one or several purposes for which you are given a choice in this notice. Number of Vendors seeking consent…
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