How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.5
Install
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 7% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | $1.9M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mitch McConnell, Senate
Search ›- Keeping Mitch McConnell On Autopilot Didn't Save The GOPThey revived Mitch McConnell's corpse (probably) and wheeled it into the Senate chamber for nothing, didn’t they? If it wasn’t so damn hilarious, it would be slightly sad how hard Republicans worked to secure their power through the…
- Andy Barr wins Kentucky U.S. Senate seat held by Mitch McConnellWBKO Andy Barr wins Kentucky U.S. Senate seat held by Mitch McConnell Superintendent responds after Butler County voters reject school tax increase Democrats gain control of both chambers of Congress, election results show Elections…
- Hear Me Out. We Really Need Mitch McConnell Right NowRetiring Kentucky Sen. Mitch McConnell, for all his flaws, understood exactly how to use time like this. Republicans still hold Congress for ten more weeks. That narrow window is all that stands between the conservative majority on the…
- How Sen. Mitch McConnell derailed American democracy – opinionThe most expensive midterm election in history just ended, and you know what that means: the even more expensive 2028 presidential contest is now underway. There are many culprits in this erosion of democracy, but one stands out…
- Andy Barr address the pubic after winning election for Kentucky US Sen. Mitch McConnell's seatWDRB Andy Barr address the pubic after winning election for Kentucky US Sen. Mitch McConnell's seat Craig Greenberg addresses supporters after winning Louisville mayoral race Popular Louisville Mexican restaurant expands across the river…
- Rep. Andy Barr wins race to replace Sen. Mitch McConnellCourtesy of Kentucky LanternNovember 3, 2026 LEXINGTON — Kentucky voters have decided to give Republican U.S. Rep. Andy Barr a promotion to the U.S. Senate. Leading up to November, the congressman was long seen as the favorite to win the…
- Andy Barr wins Kentucky Senate race, filling Mitch McConnell's long-held seatRepublican U.S. Rep. Andy Barr has won Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race, defeating Democrat Charles Booker for the seat opened by Sen. Mitch McConnell. 🗳️BACK TO FULL ELECTION RESULTS PAGE The seat has been reliably red since McConnell took…
- As Mitch McConnell's Senate term ends, the Republican has a message for his replacement Andy Barr: ‘I am proud’In a glimmer of hope for the Republicans amidst a country-wide Democrat wave in the midterm elections 2026, the Senate seat of Kentucky, held by Senator Mitch McConnell, has been retained by the party. As of 9:49pm ET on Wednesday…
- Mitch McConnell Issues Bizarre Statement After Vanishing for WeeksThe 84-year-old is back, at least on X. Mitch McConnell has appeared with a new statement despite not being seen in public for weeks. “Congratulations to U.S. Senator-elect Andy Barr!” the post began, then praised Barr’s “dedication to…
- Andy Barr Rides Away With It, Wins KY Senate Seat Held by Mitch McConnellWith 42 percent of precincts reporting, Decision Desk HQ has projected that Rep. Andy Barr (KY-06) will win the Kentucky U.S. Senate race, defeating Democrat and former state representative Charles Booker 52 percent to 45 percent. Barr…
- Republican Andy Barr wins race to succeed Mitch McConnell in U.S. SenateFormer Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms overcame GOP attacks on her management of the city to become the nation’s first elected Black female governor. Democrats won Georgia’s governor’s office in Tuesday's midterm elections for the first…
- Andy Barr wins against Booker, to replace Mitch McConnell as Kentucky’s new US senatorRepublican Congressman Andy Barr won Kentucky’s Senate race Tuesday night, beating Democrat Charles Booker to serve as the state’s next junior senator. Barr is a 7-term incumbent U.S. House representative for his central Kentucky seat. He…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions