How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (11/8-11/14)
26.3median
-850
Median 26.3Middle half 23.1 – 29.5
Install
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
The odds
5%Lisa Blunt Rochester
- Lisa Blunt Rochester5%▲ 1
- Mike Lee4%
- Raphael Warnock4%
- Kirsten Gillibrand4%
- Mark Warner4%▼ 1
- Jacky Rosen3%
- Andy Kim3%
- Catherine Cortez Masto3%
- John Fetterman3%
- Alex Padilla2%
- Ruben Gallego2%
- Rand Paul1%
3 more
- Josh Hawley1%
- Thom Tillis1%
- Jerry Moran<1%
How the odds have moved
Lisa Blunt Rochester: 5% on Oct 28, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Blunt Rochester | 5% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | $25.6K |
| Mike Lee | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | $65.2K | |
| Raphael Warnock | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.86 | $4.9K | |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $10.5K | |
| Mark Warner | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | $90.6K |
| Jacky Rosen | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | $27.6K | |
| Andy Kim | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $22.73 | $5.6K | |
| Catherine Cortez Masto | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | $59.2K | |
| John Fetterman | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | $14.4K | |
| Alex Padilla | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $41.67 | $23.8K | |
| Ruben Gallego | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $29.1K | |
| Rand Paul | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | $65.6K | |
| Josh Hawley | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $90.91 | $59K | |
| Thom Tillis | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $31.5K | ||
| Jerry Moran | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $17.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Clarity Act, Senators, Lisa Blunt Rochester
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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