Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions (Dec 2026)
44%Above 35,000
34,50045,500
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Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions (Dec 2027)
The odds
36%Above 36,000
35,50045,500
How the odds have moved
Above 36,000: 36% on Oct 20, 36% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 36,000 | 36% | $2.75 | ||||
| Above 36,500 | 36% | $2.75 | ||||
| Above 37,000 | 36% | $2.75 | 40.00 | |||
| Above 37,500 | 36% | $2.75 | 90.00 | |||
| Above 38,000 | 36% | $2.75 | 130 | |||
| Above 38,500 | 32% | $3.13 | 470 | |||
| Above 39,000 | 31% | $3.23 | 620 | |||
| Above 39,500 | 31% | $3.23 | 520 | |||
| Above 40,000 | 31% | $3.23 | 410 | |||
| Above 40,500 | 31% | $3.23 | 490 | |||
| Above 41,000 | 31% | $3.23 | 840 | |||
| Above 42,000 | 31% | $3.23 | 480 | |||
| Above 43,000 | 29% | $3.45 | 50.00 | |||
| Above 43,500 | 21% | $4.76 | ||||
| Above 44,000 | 12% | $8.33 | ||||
| Above 44,500 | <1% | |||||
| Above 45,000 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Search ›- Shipping emissions caused almost $1trn in global economic damages, analysis findsNew research has found that emissions from international shipping caused an estimated $963bn in global economic damages between 1990 and 2020. Join our growing army of changemakers and get access to our free content Register now Login …
- CarbiCrete Supplies Amazon with Cement-Free Concrete in First Large-Scale Paver DeploymentNov 02, 2026, 09:45 ET MONTREAL, Nov. 2, 2026 /CNW/ -- CarbiCrete, a leading firm in the decarbonization of concrete, has supplied Amazon with three different products at a new Amazon UK delivery station in Stockton-on-Tees. In the first…
- New dataset tracks 272 years of global carbon dioxide emissions to 2022The updated CDIAC-FF dataset extends a continuous record of global fossil-fuel carbon dioxide emissions from 1750 through 2022, reporting 10,287 megatons of carbon in 2022 and new sectoral detail back to 1995. Subject of Research: An…
- Revealed: Here is what #ShellKnew about Climate Change in the 1980sShell knew climate change was going to be big, was going to be bad, and that its products were responsible for global warming all the way back in the 1980s, a tranche of new documents reveal. Documents unearthed by Jelmer Mommers of De…
- Now Critical: Optimizing Complementary Ocean Carbon Observing NetworksA schematic of optimized networks for observing ocean carbon properties including ship-based GO-SHIP (white), SOCONET (blue) measurements, and BGC-ARGO (orange) profiling float measurements. Credit: Sutton et al. [2026], Figure 2 The ocean…
- Meeting emission targets is policy, not science, professor tells youth climate trialA professor has told Canada's first youth-led climate trial that while science can inform the emission reductions needed to meet targets, how that is achieved is a matter of policy. Climate science professor Kirsten Zickfeld from Simon…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions