Fed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase80%▲ 3
- No change19%▼ 4
- 25 bps decrease1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Median: 53,460 on Oct 20, 53,510 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 48,000 | 94% | $1.06 | 1.1K | |||
| Above 49,000 | 94% | $1.06 | 1.2K | |||
| Above 50,000 | 94% | $1.06 | 1.6K | |||
| Above 51,000 | 92% | $1.09 | 7.2K | |||
| Above 52,000 | 78% | $1.28 | 10.0K | |||
| Above 53,000 | 75% | $1.33 | 9.8K | |||
| Above 54,000 | 26% | $3.85 | 5.9K | |||
| Above 55,000 | 15% | $6.67 | 4.7K | |||
| Above 56,000 | 6% | $18.18 | 5.3K | |||
| Above 57,000 | 6% | $18.18 | 873 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions