North Dakota governor winner? (2028)

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 7, 2029 · $822 traded · $306 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

The odds

86%Republican party

Republican party86%
Democratic party14%

How the odds have moved

Republican party: 85% on Oct 19, 86% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Republican party	86%		82¢	89¢	$1.12	490
Democratic party	14%		12¢	17¢	$5.88	2.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: North Dakota

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North Dakota Town Bucks Trend by Voting in Favor of Data CentersNewsweek · 33 h agoNov 08, 2026 at 07:26 AM EST A North Dakota town bucked the national trend by voting against tighter rules for large projects, including data centers. On November 3, voters in Harwood rejected plans to bring in stricter checks for large…
North Dakota Town Bucks Backlash, Welcomes Data CenterNewser · 19 h agoIn a year when voters across the country largely tried to slam the brakes on new data centers, one tiny North Dakota town hit the gas, the Washington Post reports. Residents... North Dakota Town Bucks Backlash, Welcomes Data Center In a…
North Dakota lawmaker seeks limits on Flock-style cameras@ValleyNewsLive · 9 h agoBISMARCK, N.D. (North Dakota Monitor) - A North Dakota lawmaker is planning to propose a bill to regulate the use of controversial automated license plate readers, such as Flock cameras, across the state. “I have a lot of constituents who…
Voters in 2 North Dakota counties reject property tax increasesInForum · 25 h agoBISMARCK — Voters in two North Dakota counties on Tuesday, Nov. 3, defeated ballot measures to raise property taxes beyond a 3% cap set by the Legislature last year. The measures came as an early sign of how some counties have grappled to…
Viewpoint: North Dakota has your money. It just won't let you knowGrand Forks Herald · 2 days agoImagine discovering that North Dakota is holding money belonging to your elderly mother, your church, your small business or your local school. There's just one problem: The state won't tell you exactly how much. It could be $25. It could…
Is agriculture ‘losing its voice’ in North Dakota's Legislature? Some are concernedGrand Forks Herald · 2 days agoGRAND FORKS — As North Dakota’s population reaches unprecedented heights, boosted by burgeoning urban communities, some lawmakers and others fear that the voice of agriculture is losing strength in the Legislature. The state’s population…
Data center growth meets a different response in North DakotaInForum · 3 days agoHARWOOD — Harwood, North Dakota, stands alone when it comes to restrictions on future data centers . On Election Day, there were 41 ballot measures across 10 states that proposed different levels of restrictions on data centers. Forty…
North Dakota woman makes bookstore on wheels@wandtvnews · 3 days agowandtv.com North Dakota woman makes bookstore on wheels 26 people to become US citizens at Old State Capitol ceremony SIU School of Medicine developing AI medical training Reas Bridge repairs expected through November; two lanes remain…
North Dakota 2012 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 3 days agoMultiState 2012 results › North Dakota Another state… Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts…
North Dakota 2020 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 3 days agoMultiState 2020 results › North Dakota Another state… Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts…
Supreme Court to hear North Dakota landowners’ legal fees case@LimaYNN · 3 days agohometownstations.com Supreme Court to hear North Dakota landowners’ legal fees case Amtrak to allow more guns on eligible trains Alaska Senate race remains undecided days after Election Day Uptown Bar and Grill 318 to host Veterans Day…
North Dakota 2022 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 3 days agoMultiState 2022 results › North Dakota Another state… Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onNorth Dakota Secretary of State

Trading closesNov 7, 2029 10:00 AM ET

Traded$822 (3,274 contracts)

This week$4

At stake$306

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of North Dakota pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

The race

The candidates, the incumbent, every market on this race and its coverage: the race on 4Progressives Politics ›

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions