Aguascalientes Governor winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jun 6, 2028 · $821 traded · $696 at stake · prices read 11 h ago

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The odds

59%Toño Martín del Campo
  • Toño Martín del Campo59%
  • Leo Montañez26%▼ 1
  • Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez12%▼ 1
  • Anayeli Muñoz1%
  • Lorena Martínez1%
  • Leticia Olivares Jiménez1%
  • Kendor Gregorio Macías Martínez1%
  • José Antonio Arámbula López1%
  • Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo<1%

How the odds have moved

Toño Martín del Campo: 32% on Oct 19, 59% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 9, 10 AM ETToño Martín del Campo: 51% → 59%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Toño Martín del Campo 59% 51¢ 64¢ $1.56 921
Leo Montañez 26% ▼ 1 26¢ 31¢ $3.23 166
Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez 12% ▼ 1 12¢ 19¢ $5.26 311
Anayeli Muñoz 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 401
Lorena Martínez 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 200
Leticia Olivares Jiménez 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 200
Kendor Gregorio Macías Martínez 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 200
José Antonio Arámbula López 1% 3¢ $33.33 401
Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo <1% 1¢ $100.00 400

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Aguascalientes Governor, Leo Montañez, Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions