Next French Presidential Election

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Apr 18, 2027 · $1.9M today · $171M traded · $4.7M at stake · prices read 8 min ago

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The odds

45%Marine Le Pen
  • Marine Le Pen45%
  • David Lisnard14%▼ 1
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
  • Édouard Philippe9%▲ 1
  • Christine Lagarde6%▼ 1
  • Teddy Riner3%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann2%
  • Jordan Bardella2%
  • Dominique de Villepin2%
  • François Hollande2%
  • Bruno Retailleau1%
  • Gabriel Attal<1%
34 more
  • Éric Zemmour<1%
  • Sarah Knafo<1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%
  • François Baroin<1%
  • Xavier Bertrand<1%
  • Laurent Wauquiez<1%
  • François Ruffin<1%
  • Marine Tondelier<1%
  • Fabien Roussel<1%
  • Olivier Faure<1%
  • Ségolène Royal<1%
  • François Asselineau<1%
  • Clémentine Autain<1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
  • Michel Barnier<1%
  • Valérie Pécresse<1%
  • François Bayrou<1%
  • Élisabeth Borne<1%
  • Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
  • Jean Castex<1%
  • Gérald Darmanin<1%
  • Carole Delga<1%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
  • Manuel Bompard<1%
  • Mathilde Panot<1%
  • Juan Branco<1%
  • Clémence Guetté<1%
  • Karim Bouamrane<1%
  • Lucie Castets<1%
  • Yannick Jadot<1%
  • Marion Maréchal<1%
  • Natacha Polony<1%
  • Anasse Kazib<1%
  • Sylvain Durif<1%

How the odds have moved

Marine Le Pen: 46% on Oct 20, 45% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Marine Le Pen 45% 45¢ 45¢ $2.21 $5.3M
David Lisnard 14% ▼ 1 14¢ 14¢ $7.14 $7.2M
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% 13¢ 14¢ $7.14 $3.6M
Édouard Philippe 9% ▲ 1 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 $3.2M
Christine Lagarde 6% ▼ 1 6¢ 6¢ $16.95 $2.9M
Teddy Riner 3% 3¢ 3¢ $37.04 $299K
Raphaël Glucksmann 2% 2¢ 2¢ $41.67 $3.6M
Jordan Bardella 2% 2¢ 2¢ $50.00 $3.7M
Dominique de Villepin 2% 2¢ 2¢ $52.63 $3.6M
François Hollande 2% 2¢ 2¢ $55.56 $3.2M
Bruno Retailleau 1% 1¢ 1¢ $83.33 $3.9M
Gabriel Attal <1% 0¢ 1¢ $3.8M
Éric Zemmour <1% 0¢ 0¢ $3.6M
Sarah Knafo <1% 0¢ 0¢ $3.4M
Sébastien Lecornu <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.8M
François Baroin <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2M
Xavier Bertrand <1% 0¢ $7M
Laurent Wauquiez <1% 0¢ $3.7M
François Ruffin <1% 0¢ $4.9M
Marine Tondelier <1% 0¢ $4.6M
Fabien Roussel <1% 0¢ $4.3M
Olivier Faure <1% 0¢ $6.4M
Ségolène Royal <1% 0¢ $7M
François Asselineau <1% 0¢ $6.3M
Clémentine Autain <1% 0¢ $5M
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan <1% 0¢ $4.9M
Michel Barnier <1% 0¢ $5.3M
Valérie Pécresse <1% 0¢ $4.1M
François Bayrou <1% 0¢ $5.9M
Élisabeth Borne <1% 0¢ $5.6M
Yaël Braun-Pivet <1% 0¢ $5.9M
Jean Castex <1% 0¢ $2.1M
Gérald Darmanin <1% 0¢ $2.1M
Carole Delga <1% 0¢ $4.7M
Bernard Cazeneuve <1% 0¢ $2.5M
Manuel Bompard <1% 0¢ $5.3M
Mathilde Panot <1% 0¢ $6.4M
Juan Branco <1% 0¢ $2.4M
Clémence Guetté <1% 0¢ $4.2M
Karim Bouamrane <1% 0¢ $1.3M
Lucie Castets <1% 0¢ $424K
Yannick Jadot <1% 0¢ $75K
Marion Maréchal <1% 0¢ $1.1M
Natacha Polony <1% 0¢ $187K
Anasse Kazib <1% 0¢ $50
Sylvain Durif <1% 0¢ $51.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: French Presidential, Marine Le Pen, David Lisnard

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions