New Zealand legislative election winner?

Polymarket Elections › Around the world For Sat 11:59 PM ET · $127K today · $1.1M traded · $492K at stake · prices read just now

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The odds

98%National Party
  • National Party98%
  • Labour Party2%
  • Green Party<1%
  • ACT New Zealand<1%
  • New Zealand First Party<1%
  • Te Pāti Māori<1%

How the odds have moved

National Party: 97% on Nov 8, 98% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
National Party 98% 98¢ 98¢ $1.02 $593K
Labour Party 2% 2¢ 2¢ $45.45 $425K
Green Party <1% 0¢ $11.1K
ACT New Zealand <1% 0¢ $9.2K
New Zealand First Party <1% 0¢ $10.2K
Te Pāti Māori <1% 0¢ $12.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New Zealand, National Party, Labour Party

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions