Fed Decision in December?
80%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase80%▲ 3
- No change19%▼ 4
- 25 bps decrease1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026?
The odds
96.25Mmedian
60.00M160.00M
Median 96.25MMiddle half 93.11M – 99.09M
How the odds have moved
Median: 88.93M on Oct 20, 96.25M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 75 million | 99% | 11¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 50.00 | |
| At least 90 million | 98% | 73¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.3K | |
| At least 95 million | 61% | ▼ 28 | 52¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 2.7K |
| At least 100 million | 17% | 15¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 6.2K | |
| At least 105 million | 14% | 12¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 2.1K | |
| At least 110 million | 14% | 16¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 5.9K | |
| At least 115 million | 14% | ▲ 8 | 12¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 6.4K |
| At least 120 million | 14% | ▲ 4 | 14¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 6.1K |
| At least 125 million | 14% | 8¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 3.3K | |
| At least 130 million | 14% | 10¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 479 | |
| At least 135 million | 14% | ▼ 7 | 5¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 443 |
| At least 140 million | 14% | ▼ 4 | 6¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 6.1K |
| At least 150 million | 14% | ▲ 10 | 2¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 8.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alaska
Search ›- How Alaska Could Become a Data Center HubNov 08, 2026 at 05:19 AM EST Alaska could be transformed into a major data center hub following a new assessment of natural gas resources in the region which appear big enough to power huge advanced computing and AI sites. The state is…
- Ranked-Choice Twist: The Other Dan Sullivan and the Numbers to Win AlaskaNov 08, 2026 at 06:41 PM EST Nov 08, 2026 at 07:01 PM EST Alaska’s U.S. Senate count is far from finished and a second Dan Sullivan on the ballot could decide its outcome. As of Sunday, November 8, the state's count had not changed since…
- With counting still underway, Trump continues to claim GOP win in AlaskaPresident Donald Trump continues to assert that incumbent Dan S. Sullivan (R-Alaska) is “leading substantially” in the state’s Senate race — despite figures showing an edge for Democrat Mary Peltola. Basing his math on claims of fraudulent…
- FAA announces first US digital air traffic control towers in Florida and AlaskaSystems provide 360-degree view of airport operations, but concerns have been raised about the technology The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has announced that the first digital air traffic control towers in the US are officially…
- Trump declares Alaska Senate race ‘OVER’ and claims Republican wonPresident Trump declared the Senate race in Alaska “over” and his favored candidate Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) the winner — even though the outcome of his race against former Rep. Mary Peltola (D-Alaska) was far from certain. Trump has…
- Dunleavy calls Alaska voting system ‘very confusing’ as razor-thin Senate race frozen in timeThe Alaska Senate race remains undecided as Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola are separated by fewer than 700 votes. Finn and Dunleavy discuss the impact of same-name candidate Dan J. Sullivan, who received thousands…
- GOP alleges spoiler scheme in Alaska Senate raceFox Business GOP alleges spoiler scheme in Alaska Senate race 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-host Charlie Hurt joins 'Kudlow' to discuss the 'Decoy Dan' controversy in Alaska and the GOP's next steps. 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-host Charlie…
- Alaska Election Officials Hit with Lawsuit from Mary Peltola CampaignNov 07, 2026 at 06:47 AM EST Nov 07, 2026 at 06:49 AM EST While Alaska’s Senate race still remains undecided days after November 3, Democrat Mary Peltola’s campaign has filed a lawsuit against Alaska election officials Friday, seeking…
- The status of uncalled midterm races in Mississippi, Alaska, beyondCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. The status of…
- Alaska Ranked-Choice Voting Could Sink Challenge to Senate Result: AnalystsNov 06, 2026 at 11:31 AM EST Alaska’s voting system cancels out President Donald Trump’s continued calls for "decoy Dan" votes to be transferred to Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan, experts say. The state’s ranked-choice election…
- Alaska Senate race tightens as 'Decoy Dan' scandal remains under speculationFox News Alaska Senate race tightens as 'Decoy Dan' scandal remains under speculation Tennessee Governor-elect Marsha Blackburn discusses the Alaska Senate race and the controversial 'Decoy Dan' scheme. Tennessee Governor-elect Marsha…
- Alaska and Mississippi races still undecided as Democrats eye Senate seatsFox News Alaska and Mississippi races still undecided as Democrats eye Senate seats Fox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram discusses recent election results as Alaska and Mississippi races are still undecided. Fox News…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions