NC-03 House winner?
85%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.85%
- Greg Murphy16%
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When will AP call the NC-03 House election? (Nov 3, 2026 election)
The odds
Nov 20, 2026even chance by
- Before Jan 441%▼ 48
- Before Nov 1341%▲ 40
- Before Nov 1441%▲ 14
- Before Nov 1845%▲ 12
- Before Nov 2563%▼ 17
- Before Dec 184%▼ 5
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 13: 36% on Nov 6, 41% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 6, 11 PM ETBefore Nov 13: 36% → 44%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 4 | 41% | ▼ 48 | 50¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 882 |
| Before Nov 13 | 41% | ▲ 40 | 5¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 813 |
| Before Nov 14 | 41% | ▲ 14 | 7¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 1.2K |
| Before Nov 18 | 45% | ▲ 12 | 26¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 4.8K |
| Before Nov 25 | 63% | ▼ 17 | 60¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 1.9K |
| Before Dec 1 | 84% | ▼ 5 | 83¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 768 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House
Search ›- Republicans Focusing on Election Integrity in Uncalled NC House RacesRepublicans are engaged in statewide election integrity efforts for several uncalled North Carolina congressional races. More than 36,000 provisional ballots will be reviewed by election officials this week before Friday’s county canvass…
- NRCC chair Richard Hudson loses NC House seat — flipping district blue for first time in 60 yearsFollow for live updates on the 2026 Midterm Elections Rep. Richard Hudson (R-NC), chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee since 2023, lost by about 6,000 votes, with all precincts counted. Hudson had already conceded…
- With Democrats controlling NC House, Charlotte is optimistic about getting city’s priorities passedWSOC TV Man recovers after power line shock stops heart during light installation Fatal hit-and-run prompts new traffic safety plans in east Charlotte More immigrant families are turning to a Charlotte nonprofit for help Heavy rains flood…
- NC House District 9 race still too close to callWITN NC House District 9 race still too close to call Farmville mayor demands retraction over claims in Washington library resolution Whitakers man arrested after alleged assault on town employees, police says State transportation board…
- Reives secures majority support to become next NC House speakerNorth Carolina House Democratic Leader Robert Reives announced Friday that he had secured commitments from a majority of the members projected to serve in the incoming 120-member House to become the chamber’s next speaker. According to a…
- Reives secures support to become NC House SpeakerHouse Democratic leader Robert Reives is expected to become House Speaker Robert Reives when his party takes control of the North Carolina House of Representatives next year. Reives, D-Chatham, said Friday that he had secured commitments…
- Janene Ackles calls her NC House 43 win surreal. Here's what comes nextDemocrat Janene Ackles unseated Republican incumbent Diane Wheatley in the race for North Carolina House District 43, a victory Ackles described as surreal. This is the second time Ackles has faced Wheatley. In 2024, Wheatley won…
- Carver flips NC House District 109, unseating Republican LoftisDemocrat Mark Carver defeated Republican state Rep. Donnie Loftis in North Carolina House District 109 on Tuesday, flipping a Gaston County seat that Republicans won by a substantial margin just two years earlier. According to unofficial…
- NC House Candidate Shelly Headen Loses Party BackingHouse Speaker Destin Hall said the posts should disqualify Headen from office, arguing that calling for violence against political opponents is inappropriate for service in the General Assembly. Hall added that Headen has a First Amendment…
- Breaking down the new balance of power in the 2026 NC House, Senatewfmynews2.com Breaking down the new balance of power in the 2026 NC House, Senate To stream WFMY News 2 on your phone, you need the WFMY News 2 app. Download the WFMY News 2 app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video…
- Democrats flip NC House as WNC helps break GOP controlASHEVILLE - The red wall finally cracked in Raleigh. Western North Carolina helped bring it down. Democrats seized control of the North Carolina House of Representatives in Tuesday's midterm elections, ending 16 years of Republican…
- In Depth: Congress, NC House flips Democrat. What happens next?WRAL In Depth: Congress, NC House flips Democrat. What happens next?
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions