Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
83%chance▲ 1
Install
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
The odds
65%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 68% on Oct 20, 65% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65% | ▼ 1 | 64¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 13.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: India
Search ›- Homes and temples glow across India as Diwali celebrations beginDiwali's appeal goes beyond religion, drawing people from different communities Millions across India are set to celebrate Diwali, the Hindu festival of lights, illuminating homes, temples, offices and streets with oil lamps and colourful…
- Delhi braces for ‘pollution season’ as smog shrouds India’s capital – in picturesThe air quality index in Delhi has already soared above 650, more than 30 times the limit the World Health Organization deems to be safe Continue reading... The air quality index in Delhi has already soared above 650, more than 30 times…
- Tracking the seasonal fires and smog across northern India and PakistanAccording to the latest data, satellites have detected fewer fire hotspots across the region than the historical average at this point in the year, although conditions vary widely by country. Modelled hourly air quality for major cities…
- India Energy News: IEA Highlights India Renewable GrowthAditya Pathre is the Founder of MVApulse and covers India's renewable energy sector, including solar, wind, battery energy storage systems (BESS), green hydrogen, transmission infrastructure, renewable energy policy and competitive…
- India Air PollutionThe Batesville Daily Guard A worker sweeps the area outside a construction site as authorities use water sprinklers to curb air pollution in New Delhi, India, Friday, Nov. 6, 2026. Diwali celebrations coincide with worsening air. Hereâs…
- Will Arunachal Pradesh’s Upper Siang dam protect India against China’s mega-dam? | Insight IndiaIndia is planning to build an 11,200 MW hydropower project in Geku village in Arunachal Pradesh’s Upper Siang district. The Siang Upper Multipurpose Project has been in the works for years, but China’s plans for the world’s largest…
- Middle East war-driven energy supply disruptions could influence air pollution in India and Chinanpj Clean Air has APC waivers available that can be allocated upon acceptance on an ad-hoc basis. For additional information, contact the Journal Publisher, Jialiang Cai. npj Clean Air volume 2, Article number: 69 (2026) Cite this article…
- Study Ranks Barriers to India’s Inland Water TransportA new study using a Plithogenic Neutrosophic AHP framework identifies infrastructure and economic factors as the primary barriers to sustainable inland water transport in India. Study Ranks Barriers to India's Inland Water Transport…
- India, Myanmar conduct maiden tri-services exerciseNew Delhi, Nov 6 (PTI) India and Myanmar carried out their maiden bilateral tri-services exercise — Rahat Mitra — with an aim to foster mutual trust and enhance coordination between their defence forces. The two-day humanitarian assistance…
- India successfully tests indigenous 'Pralay' MissileNew Delhi, Nov 5 (IANS) The Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) has successfully conducted the flight test of the indigenously developed, surface-to-surface 'Pralay' Missile, marking another achievement in India's defence…
- India, Myanmar conclude maiden joint disaster relief exerciseChennai : In a significant step towards bolstering regional disaster response, India and Myanmar successfully concluded their inaugural bilateral Tri-Services Humanitarian Assistance and Disaster Relief (HADR) exercise, ‘Rahat Mitra’, in…
- Carbon credit hidden in India's rice fieldsRice cultivation has a significant climate footprint, but changing how fields are irrigated could turn that challenge into a new source of value for farmers and carbon markets. Indian climate-tech startup Mitti Labs is seeking to build…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions