Argentina presidential election: first round winner? (2027 Argentine presidential election)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 23, 2028 · $6.9K traded · $6.3K at stake · prices read 55 min ago

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The odds

57%Javier Milei
  • Javier Milei57%
  • Axel Kicillof21%▼ 3
  • Sergio Massa7%
  • Patricia Bullrich3%
  • Myriam Bregman2%
  • Juan Grabois2%▲ 1
  • Juan Schiaretti2%
  • Victoria Villarruel2%
  • Mauricio Macri2%

How the odds have moved

Javier Milei: 62% on Oct 20, 57% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Javier Milei 57% 57¢ 58¢ $1.72 10.6K
Axel Kicillof 21% ▼ 3 20¢ 21¢ $4.76 2.4K
Sergio Massa 7% 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 2.3K
Patricia Bullrich 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 1.5K
Myriam Bregman 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 1.4K
Juan Grabois 2% ▲ 1 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 1.6K
Juan Schiaretti 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.3K
Victoria Villarruel 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.4K
Mauricio Macri 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Argentina, Argentine, Javier Milei

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  • “Right-wing politics and anti-politics. From Carlos Menem to Javier Milei”CLACSO · 8 days agoCLACSO - Common knowledge: technologies, artificial intelligence, open science and territorial knowledge - Democracies in dispute: horizons, resistances and the construction of alternatives from the public and the common - Social right to…
  • Argentina’s Kirchner is betting on Trump’s defeat — and her own comebackThe Washington Post · 8 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Cristina Fernández de…
  • SPAIN-ARGENTINA/San Mateo Daily Journal · 7 days agoSan Mateo Daily Journal Argentina's President Javier Milei delivers a speech at the New Economy Forum in Madrid Oct. 21. Argentina's Milei pitches a regulation-free AI haven at the end of the world Data centers are facing a growing…
  • Argentina: Israel an unconquerable lightJFeed · 6 days agoPresident Javier Milei receives award in Buenos Aires, delivers sweeping pro-Israel speech invoking the Maccabees' victory, warning of global antisemitism and pledging to stand with Israel and Netanyahu The event honored Milei with the…
  • Argentina Won’t Say If It Helped BolsonaroThe Rio Times · 6 days agoArgentina’s government says Flávio Bolsonaro’s passage through the country was formal and the matter is closed. It would not say whether President Javier Milei knew of the trip in advance. Argentina’s presidential spokesperson, Adrián…
  • Argentina's Milei pitches a regulation-free AI haven at the end of the worldSan Mateo Daily Journal · 7 days agoArgentina's President Javier Milei delivers a speech at the New Economy Forum in Madrid Oct. 21. As residents and policymakers in the United States and Europe fight the facilities that power artificial intelligence, President Javier Milei…
  • Milei: Argentina backs Israel over shared values, not 'personal whim'Israel & Jewish News - JNS · 7 days agoArgentine President Javier Milei said on Monday that his country’s support for Israel is not based on his personal preferences, but on a commitment to defending Western values. “We do not defend Israel because of a personal whim of the…
  • Argentina's ex-president Kirchner eyes 2027 run against Mileiintellinews.com · 7 days agoCristina Fernandez de Kirchner, Argentina's convicted ex-president, would consider running against Javier Milei in 2027 if her ban from office is ...
  • Radio Primavera Sound - Summering in Argentina with Georgina Orellano: feminism and prostitution | S1E04Primavera Sound · 7 days agoGeorgina Orellano has spent 12 years fighting to ensure that the police and laws in Argentina leave sex workers alone and to secure their rights. Why does white feminism refuse to listen to her? A sex worker, general secretary of AMMAR…
  • Brazil-Argentina trade seen holding up despite Lula-Milei riftvalorinternational · 7 days agoDespite the political and ideological differences between Argentine President Javier Milei and reelected Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, economic relations between Brazil and Argentina are expected to continue as usual…
  • Can Milei's Success in Argentina Be Repeated Elsewhere?Reason Magazine · 8 days agoThe December 2026 issue of Reason explores Argentine President Javier Milei's accomplishments and what is yet to be done. A lifelong libertarian might be forgiven for getting a little pessimistic about the possibility of real reform. Milei…
  • British ship opens fire off Falkland Islands amid rising tensions with ArgentinaExpress.co.uk · 7 days agoJavier Milei, president of Argentina, signalled that he was willing to "move quickly" to "recover" the islands last month, claiming they are "under illegal foreign occupation" by the UK. The Falklands have long been a source of diplomatic…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions