Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Chiang Wan-an
67%
▲ 1
67¢
68¢
$1.47
$2.1M
Puma Shen
34%
34¢
34¢
$2.98
$2.1M
Kuo Hsi
<1%
0¢
$139K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
2026 Elections: Taipei mayoral rivals step up campaigns; back allies in Kaohsiung台北時報 · 3 days agoTaipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an’s (蔣萬安) campaign called on supporters yesterday to join a Nov. 14 march and rally, while Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) challenger Puma Shen (沈伯洋) led a campaign motorcade through two Taipei districts. The…
Taipei mayor race a victory for democracy whoever wins: Shen台北時報 · 4 days agoTaipei’s mayoral election on Nov. 28 will be a victory for democracy in the face of pressure from China whoever wins, said the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) candidate who Beijing detests as a “separatist.” The DPP’s Puma Shen (沈伯洋)…
What Does the Taipei Mayoral Debate Tell Us?New Bloom Magazine · 5 days agoThe Taipei mayoral debate occurred on October 31st, after much discussion ahead of time about whether Taipei mayor Chiang Wan-an would be willing to participate. The Shen campaign clamored for a debate, seeing as Shen’s strengths were seen…
Donovan’s Deep Dives: Puma Shen’s unlikely rise and the mystery of the Ocean Wave台北時報 · 5 days agoThroughout last month, television news was awash with footage of seas of people waving festive orange and black banners and ribbons. Parting the waves is a campaign truck decked out like a ship, with Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)…
Friendly toast台北時報 · 3 days agoTaipei Times - All Front Page Taiwan News Business Editorial & Opinion Sports World News Features Bilingual Pages President William Lai, right, and Marshall Islands Legislative Speaker Brenson Wase, left, raise their mugs during their…
EDITORIAL CARTOON台北時報 · 3 days agoTaipei Times - All Front Page Taiwan News Business Editorial & Opinion Sports World News Features Bilingual Pages Taiwan, Japan might sign comprehensive trade pact: report Investigators seize boats in probe into aide’s escape Taiwan to…
Coattail effect goes in reverse for rival camps as Taipei mayoral race heats upZaobao English · 5 days agoThe Taipei mayoral race is heating up, with a reversal in the coattail effect within the Blue and Green camps signalling a new phase of the electoral tussle. The two held their first televised debate on 31 October. A post-debate telephone…
Night market rally台北時報 · 4 days agoTaipei Times - All Front Page Taiwan News Business Editorial & Opinion Sports World News Features Bilingual Pages Jane Shih, left, wife of Taipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an, and Tsai Pi-yun, right, wife of Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) New…
Taiwan Mayor Shows Up for Pride, but the Crowd Has Other PlansInstinct Magazine · 6 days agoPublished Nov 3, 2026 Taiwan’s LGBTQ+ community showed up for Pride, but apparently, not everyone was there to celebrate quietly. Taipei’s annual Pride parade turned into an opportunity for thousands to make their voices heard after a…
Retired general out on bail, suspected of vote interference台北時報 · 4 days agoThe Kaohsiung District Prosecutors’ Office yesterday released retired army general Tsang You-hsia (臧幼俠) and five others on bail after they were questioned on suspicion of facilitating Beijing-directed election interference. Tsang had been…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions