Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
PP
83%
▲ 1
80¢
86¢
$1.16
949
PSIB-PSOE
12%
8¢
15¢
$6.67
183
Vox
6%
1¢
10¢
$10.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Spain’s Election Candidate Lists Due MondayThe Rio Times · 14 days agoSpain’s election campaign has not even begun, yet its parties are already racing the clock. They have until 11:59 p.m. Madrid time on Monday, 26 October (6:59 p.m. ET), to register candidates for the 29 November vote, as our Spain Election…
Spain’s Right Joins Forces for the SenateThe Rio Times · 14 days agoThis story is part of our coverage of the Spain Election 2026. Dates, times and how to follow it are in our guide. Latest: Spain's Election Candidate Lists Due Monday Spain elects two chambers. The Senate is the upper house, and in each…
Spain election campaign sharpens as Feijóo sets out pledgesRUSSPAIN.com · 16 days agoFor the Spanish audience, Balearic Islands is followed as a Spanish region where politics, weather, tourism, transport and public services shape daily life.Updates cover local events, incidents, fiestas, holidays, business changes, travel…
Protesters block exits at Abascal rally in MaóRUSSPAIN.com · 16 days agoAround 400 anti-fascist activists pushed past several police checkpoints in Maó before officers stopped them near the Vox rally. They blocked both streets leading to the square as supporters tried to leave. The protest did not interrupt…
Ernest Urtasun: "In these elections we are gambling the future of Catalan"Ara in English · 17 days agoBarcelonaThe Minister of Culture, Ernest Urtasun (Barcelona, 1982), visits the ARA newsroom a few days after it was made public that he will be number 2 on the Front-Ampli candidacy for Barcelona in the upcoming general elections. Read it…
Feijóo, with the Catalan nuisanceAra in English · 20 days agoThis man who is running for the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, went to Catalonia to explain something he calls Contrato con España and which amounts to the most notable measures he intends to implement if Spain hires him as president of the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions