Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Dec 31 · $731 traded · $72 at stake · prices read 6 h ago

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The odds

6%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 9% on Oct 20, 6% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 6% 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 13.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: America

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  • Corporate America prepares for post-midterm Democratic backlashsemafor.com · 7 days agoAs Democrats appear poised to take the gavel, the task of helping corporate executives prepare for their turn in the chair will be in high demand. The witness-prep business is about to take off for Washington law firms As Democrats appear…
  • The issues that matter to American votersBBC · 7 days agoBBC The issues that matter to American voters Voters across the country explain the issues that will shape their choices at the ballot box ahead of the 2026 US Midterm elections.
  • What are Americans voting for in this election?BBC News · 8 days agoAmericans are heading to the polls for the 2026 midterm elections on 3 November. The BBC's Madeline Gerber explains what's on the ballot and what the outcome could mean for the balance of power in Washington. What are Americans voting for…
  • GEN Z MISLED? Young Americans' understanding of socialism QUESTIONEDFox News · 7 days agoFox News GEN Z MISLED? Young Americans' understanding of socialism QUESTIONED FOX Business correspondent Lydia Hu argues young voters are misled about government control because of financial struggles on 'Outnumbered.'
  • To honor America's 250th anniversary, voteCBS News · 8 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Showing up at the…
  • How many Americans have already voted in the 2026 midterm elections?AP News · 7 days agoAP News How many Americans have already voted in the 2026 midterm elections? When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election…
  • What the 2024 electoral map reveals about America’s mortality divideSTAT · 7 days agoBy Brandon Yan, Maddie Feldmeier, and Renee Y. Hsia Yan is a physician and public health researcher affiliated with the University of California San Francisco Philip R. Lee Institute for Health Policy Studies. Feldmeier is a medical…
  • Is America really that polarized? The answer might be a surpriseNPR · 7 days agoHOUSTON and EDGEWATER, Md. — Shanna Berry and Alma Ong are friends, and one way they keep it that way is not talking politics. In January, the pair was asked what they thought of the U.S. capture of Venezuela's then-president Nicolas…
  • New Medicare Bill Would Let Americans Keep Private InsuranceNewsweek · 7 days agoNov 02, 2026 at 12:34 PM EST Nov 02, 2026 at 12:37 PM EST Representative Rosa DeLauro, a Connecticut Democrat, has introduced the "Medicare for America Act," which would open an expanded Medicare program to every resident while allowing…
  • Boston's Accent Contest Offers an Escape From America's Culture WarsNewsweek · 7 days agoNov 02, 2026 at 02:03 PM EST Nov 02, 2026 at 02:04 PM EST The Voice of Logan competition, organized by the authority that runs Boston Logan International Airport, attracted nearly 6,000 applicants hoping to become the voice greeting…
  • Donald Trump Announces End To Israel Payments as Americans Head To PollsNewsweek · 7 days agoNov 03, 2026 at 09:18 AM EST President Donald Trump has said the United States will stop sending funding packages to Israel by the end of the year after making a deal with the embattled Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. "As far as…
  • America has always been drawn to an unelected elite. Meet the courtier classthe Guardian · 7 days agoFrom Hamilton to the ‘Epstein class’, we have long been fascinated by a charismatic yet shadowy set of power brokers. American aristocracy is alive and well Americans remain awed by the extravagance of the super-rich, oddly enticed and…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions