Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia? (Before Jan 1, 2028)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jan 8, 2028 · $4.5K traded · $2.7K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

67%Lorne Doerkson
  • Lorne Doerkson67%▲ 3
  • Aaron Gunn9%
  • Caroline Elliott8%▼ 1
  • Iain Black4%
  • Claire Rattée3%
  • Yuri Fulmer2%
  • Stockwell Day2%
  • Chip Wilson2%
  • Sheldon Clare1%
  • Harman Bhangu1%
  • Steve Kooner1%

How the odds have moved

Lorne Doerkson: 60% on Oct 20, 67% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Lorne Doerkson 67% ▲ 3 67¢ 72¢ $1.39 6.1K
Aaron Gunn 9% 5¢ 13¢ $7.69 103
Caroline Elliott 8% ▼ 1 4¢ 13¢ $7.69 1.1K
Iain Black 4% 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 3.1K
Claire Rattée 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 492
Yuri Fulmer 2% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 493
Stockwell Day 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 283
Chip Wilson 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 333
Sheldon Clare 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 104
Harman Bhangu 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 84.00
Steve Kooner 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 253

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Conservative Party of British Columbia, Lorne Doerkson, Aaron Gunn

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions