Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Liberal Democrats
34%
30¢
38¢
$2.63
Reform UK
24%
20¢
28¢
$3.57
Conservative
14%
10¢
18¢
$5.56
Green
11%
7¢
15¢
$6.67
Labour
10%
6¢
14¢
$7.14
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Reform UK Unveils Economic Rescue Plan Ahead of BudgetBBC · 16 days agoReform UK unveils ‘teal’ budget outlining spending cuts and economic plans ... Reform UK Unveils Economic Rescue Plan Ahead of Budget In a wide-ranging set of pledges, Reform’s Treasury spokesperson Robert Jenrick will outline plans to…
Victoria Collins reselected as Liberal Democrat MP candidateHerts Advertiser · 14 days agoVictoria Collins has been reselected as the Liberal Democrat MP candidate for Harpenden & Berkhamsted. She was unanimously endorsed by party members, who cited her strong parliamentary record and continued advocacy for the area. Victoria…
David Chadwick enters race to lead Welsh Liberal DemocratsCounty Times · 13 days agoA Powys MP has put himself forward to be the new leader of the Liberal Democrats in Wales. MP for Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe, David Chadwick has confirmed that he is putting himself forward to become the next leader of the Welsh Liberal…
Reform UK plan to 'bring back imperial measurements'The National · 15 days agoREFORM UK have set out dozens of measures they claim would help create jobs, including support for the Rosebank oil field and other North Sea projects along with policies including a return to the wider use of imperial measurements and a…
True scale of Reform UK’s donations from overseas donors revealedThe Independent · 14 days agoExclusive: 80 per cent of the money received by Reform UK from donations in the year 2025-26 has come from individuals or companies who have been based abroad in the past two years An astonishing 80 per cent of donations to Reform UK in…
Reform UK fury as Lib Dem 'activist' puts Nigel Farage 'on trial' at girls' schoolExpress.co.uk · 13 days agoA local Reform UK chief has claimed a Lib Dem "activist" put Nigel Farage "on trial" during a visit to a girls' school. George Finch, leader of Warwickshire County Council, posted a statement on X on Tuesday in which he described feeling…
BBC News broadcasts Reform UK speeches in full without interruptionsThe National · 15 days agoBBC News is facing questions after broadcasting a Reform UK press event for more than 40 minutes without interruption. Journalist Alex Andreou questioned why the BBC had broadcast “forty-one minutes of unfiltered, unchallenged propaganda…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions