Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Elif Eralp
84%
▲ 1
83¢
86¢
$1.16
38.6K
Stefan Evers
13%
▼ 1
10¢
16¢
$6.25
9.0K
Werner Graf
1%
3¢
$33.33
960
Kristin Brinker
1%
3¢
$33.33
2.1K
Steffen Krach
1%
1¢
$100.00
949
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Governing Mayor of Berlin, Elif Eralp, Stefan Evers
Elif Eralp Sparks Berlin Controversy After Der Spiegel Leak Reveals Security FearsNewsCord · 9 days agoPublished 1 Nov 2026, 05:19 UTC Leaked notes show Eralp privately fearing Hamas-linked activists at party events. The leak came from a Der Spiegel interview draft transmitted accidentally, triggering controversy. Elif Eralp, the candidate…
Berlin's mayoral frontrunner Elif Eralp given security protection after threatsTürkiye Today · 10 days agoElif Eralp, the Left Party’s mayoral frontrunner given security protection after threatsfor Berlin state premier, has been assigned special security protection after threats and hostile messages against her intensified on social media…
Wallah! The European Left begins to fear its pact with the devilIsrael National News · 5 days agoThe Islamist despises the West as decadent and unbelieving; the radical Leftist despises it as capitalist and colonial. In their rejection of the Western order, they make common cause. Now we discover that: The German Left won thanks to…
Germansplaining: The awkward friends of Berlin’s aspiring mayorThe New World · 7 days agoElif Eralp’s attempt to censor her interview remarks about a Hamas sympathiser has spectacularly backfired Foreign journalists often see the German way of handling interviews as peculiar: unless you’re on radio or TV, you don’t simply…
Left Party, Greens and Social Democrats Launch Coalition Talks in BerlinUS Muslims · 7 days agoParties report positive initial discussions on budget but warn of major challenges as they seek sustainable long-term financial strategy BERLIN (AA) - Germany's Social Democrats, Greens and Left Party began formal coalition negotiations…
Coalition crisis in Berlin's Left amid fear of party's pro-Hamas figuresThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 7 days agoBerlin’s prospective left-wing government has been thrown into disarray after the city’s leading mayoral candidate inadvertently revealed that she and her husband feared for their safety because of individuals within her own party with…
Leading German news weekly Der Spiegel attacks Die Linke / Left PartyWorld Socialist Web Site · 8 days agoSix weeks after Berlin’s state election, the campaign against the formation of a Senate (state executive) led by Die Linke (Left Party) has reached a new peak. Although Die Linke clearly won the election, leading media outlets and…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions