When will Biden release his presidential memoir?

Kalshi Politics Closes Mar 31, 2027 · $315 today · $3.8K traded · $2.9K at stake · prices read 31 min ago

The odds

98%Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 202798%▲ 2
Before Apr 1, 202799%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 95% on Oct 20, 98% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Pays	Contracts
Before Oct 1, 2026	1%			$100.00	3.2K
Before Jan 1, 2027	98%	▲ 2	96¢	$1.02	3.0K
Before Apr 1, 2027	99%	▲ 1	98¢	$1.01	845

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Joe Biden

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Joe Biden says cancer slowed him down, limiting memoir promotion tourFox News · 26 h agoFormer President Joe Biden said on Sunday ahead of the release of his presidential memoir that he would need to limit the promotional events due to his cancer battle slowing him down at times. JOE BIDEN'S CANCER HAS SPREAD FURTHER, LEAVING…
Joe Biden to Scale Back Book EventsPolitical Wire · 26 h ago“Former President Joe Biden signaled that he will limit public appearances to promote his memoir coming out this month, citing health issues as he continues treatment for prostate cancer,” Bloomberg reports. Said Biden: “Some days are…
NEW: Joe Biden Takes Veiled Shot at Trump in Update About Cancer Fight Following MidtermsThe Gateway Pundit · 26 h agoJoe Biden took a veiled shot at President Trump on Sunday evening as he provided an update about his cancer diagnosis. Biden announced that his new memoir, “PROMISE ME, AMERICA” is coming out on November 17th. Joe Biden, who is turning 84…
Lara Trump Blames Joe Biden for GOP Midterm CatastropheYahoo News UK · 4 days agoLara Trump says good things come to those who wait. Unfortunately for Republicans, voters apparently weren't willing to wait any longer. Two days after a blue tsunami swept Democrats into control of both the House and the Senate, the…
Joe Biden thanks athletes Carl Nassib and Kumi Yokoyama for bravely coming out: ‘I’m so proud’PinkNews | Latest lesbian · 4 days agoJoe Biden said he was ‘so proud’ of Carl Nassib and Kumi Yokoyama for living their truths publicly. (Getty Images_ US president Joe Biden thanked athletes Carl Nassib and Kumi Yokoyama for coming out as LGBT+ in a heartfelt tweet (22…
Keir Starmer cashes in on lucrative speaking gigs after quitting No10 as he signs up with US-based agency which boasts Joe Biden, Jacinda Ardern and Kamala Harris among its clientsDaily Mail · 3 days agoThe former prime minister, who was ousted by Andy Burnham in July, has taken up a paid role with Creative Artists Agency (CAA). The Los Angeles-headquartered firm also boasts former US President Joe Biden and ex-New Zealand PM Jacinda…
Hunter Biden Says Joe Biden’s Cancer Treatment ‘Incredibly Taxing’Newsweek · 6 days agoPoll of the Day Nov 03, 2026 at 12:57 PM EST Nov 03, 2026 at 12:58 PM EST Joe Biden's battle with cancer is "incredibly taxing" on his body, his son Hunter has revealed in an update on the former president’s health. He said: "I described…
Exclusive: Joe Biden Works Phones After Sweeping Dem VictoriesYahoo News · 5 days agoFormer President Joe Biden has been working the phones over the last 72 hours, calming nerves and congratulating Democrats as the party delivered resounding victories across the country. Since Monday evening, the former president has made…
Biden says cancer fight means he will scale back book promotion tourThe Washington Post · 26 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The former president’s…
Biden gives heartbreaking update on cancer ahead of memoir releaseNew York Post · 26 h agoFormer President Joe Biden revealed on Sunday that his prostate cancer diagnosis has slowed him down and he’ll only be able to make limited appearances to promote his upcoming presidential memoir. Biden, who announced his cancer diagnosis…
Joe Biden worked for 72 hours straight despite cancer to help hand Trump his defeatDagens.com · 5 days agoThe phone marathon started back on Monday evening. When a political party pulls off a massive win at the ballot box, the spotlight usually stays glued to the candidates on stage. Behind the scenes, however, the veterans of the game are…
Joe Biden's Got Jokes: One Night, Five PunchlinesABC News · 6 days agoThe president started his speech with humor at a Black History Month event.  -- Few politicians pack the same entertaining punch as Vice President Joe Biden. He tends to cause a stir in the Twittersphere with his one-liners and…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onDeadline, Entertainment Weekly, Fox News

Trading closesMar 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$3.8K (6,965 contracts)

Today$315

This week$1.1K

At stake$2.9K

In the news75 headlines today, 102 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Joe Biden’s presidential memoir has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions