The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Susie Wiles
>99%
▲ 56
2.1M
✓ Stephen Miller
98%
▲ 1
$1.03
1.3M
✓ Ric Grenell
52%
▼ 7
$1.92
8.2K
Pete Hegseth
37%
▼ 5
36¢
37¢
$2.70
2.2M
Will Scharf
31%
▼ 11
29¢
32¢
$3.13
7.0K
Trent McCotter
28%
▼ 9
28¢
29¢
$3.45
11.3K
Stanley Woodward
28%
▼ 6
27¢
28¢
$3.57
6.4K
Amy Gleason
27%
▼ 7
26¢
27¢
$3.70
110.8K
Christopher Landau
26%
▼ 1
24¢
27¢
$3.70
4.0K
Howard Lutnick
25%
▲ 5
24¢
25¢
$4.00
446.3K
Kash Patel
23%
▼ 1
22¢
23¢
$4.35
1.4M
Doug Collins
21%
▲ 1
20¢
21¢
$4.76
26.6K
Brad Cooper
20%
19¢
21¢
$4.76
1.5K
Dan Caine
20%
▼ 2
18¢
21¢
$4.76
2.8K
Steven Cheung
19%
▼ 17
18¢
19¢
$5.26
20.0K
Kevin Hassett
19%
▲ 4
18¢
19¢
$5.26
15.1K
Linda McMahon
18%
▼ 3
17¢
18¢
$5.56
33.7K
Sergio Gor
18%
▼ 7
17¢
18¢
$5.56
6.1K
Peter Navarro
17%
▼ 1
16¢
17¢
$5.88
10.7K
Brooke Rollins
17%
16¢
17¢
$5.88
24.2K
Marco Rubio
14%
▼ 2
14¢
15¢
$6.67
628.8K
Chris Wright
14%
14¢
15¢
$6.67
64.0K
Doug Burgum
14%
14¢
15¢
$6.67
20.8K
John Ratcliffe
14%
▲ 3
14¢
15¢
$6.67
30.6K
Scott Turner
13%
▲ 2
12¢
14¢
$7.14
12.0K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
13%
▼ 4
12¢
13¢
$7.69
330.3K
Steve Witkoff
13%
▼ 5
12¢
13¢
$7.69
51.7K
Mehmet Oz
13%
▼ 1
12¢
13¢
$7.69
26.1K
Bill Pulte
13%
▼ 1
12¢
13¢
$7.69
63.9K
Kelly Loeffler
13%
▼ 6
12¢
13¢
$7.69
17.0K
Joe Gebbia
13%
▲ 2
11¢
14¢
$7.14
3.3K
Jamieson Greer
12%
▲ 1
11¢
13¢
$7.69
7.9K
Mike Huckabee
12%
▲ 1
11¢
13¢
$7.69
38.1K
Tom Homan
11%
10¢
11¢
$9.09
64.6K
Todd Blanche
11%
▼ 4
10¢
11¢
$9.09
6.7K
Rodney Scott
10%
9¢
11¢
$9.09
4.2K
Sean Duffy
10%
▼ 1
9¢
10¢
$10.10
27.2K
Mike Waltz
10%
▼ 8
7¢
12¢
$8.33
10.6K
Russell Vought
8%
7¢
9¢
$11.49
15.0K
Lee Zeldin
8%
▲ 1
8¢
8¢
$12.35
50.9K
Scott Bessent
8%
▼ 1
8¢
8¢
$12.82
128.9K
Tilman Fertitta
8%
▲ 2
7¢
8¢
$12.50
4.5K
Brendan Carr
5%
▼ 2
4¢
6¢
$17.24
17.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Marco Rubio defends Pete Hegseth amid Massie's impeachment pushFox News · 2 h ago'America Reports' covers State Secretary Marco Rubio's defense of War Secretary Pete Hegseth amid a push for impeachment by Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky. Marco Rubio defends Pete Hegseth amid Massie's impeachment push 'America Reports' covers…
Is This Pete Hegseth’s Last Stand?Rolling Stone · 11 h agoSecretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and his “patriotic cowboys” at the Pentagon used to warn America’s adversaries fuck around and find out. After Tuesday’s election, it looks like Hegseth is the one who is going to find out. Sources on…
Will Secretary Pete Hegseth pay the price for the Iran war?NPR · 12 h agoRepublican Congressman Thomas Massie of Kentucky filed a resolution to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Monday. The charges against him include illegally waging war against Iran in violation of the War Powers Resolution. President…
Republican Thomas Massie moves to force vote to impeach Pete Hegseththe Guardian · 7 h agoUS representative accuses defense secretary of illegally waging war without congressional authorization and abusing his powersUS politics live – latest updatesA Republican lawmaker has moved to force a vote to impeach Pete Hegseth, the US…
Rep. Thomas Massie moves to impeach Pete HegsethCBS News · 3 h agoCBS News Atlanta is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WUPA and channel 69, CBS News Atlanta offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Rep. Thomas Massie…
Pete Hegseth Impeachment Vote Expected as Trump Mutes Iran War EscalationNewsweek · 5 h agoNov 09, 2026 at 11:23 AM EST Republican Rep. Thomas Massie is preparing to force a House vote on articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Monday. The move could set up a high-stakes confrontation in the House of…
Trump defends Jensen Huang and Pete Hegseth at surprise news briefing with Dana WhiteNBC News · 2 h agoIn his first post-midterm news briefing, President Donald Trump on Monday talked about Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s affair with an alleged Chinese spy, the effort to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and the massive Republican losses at…
Thomas Massie files articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete HegsethNPR · 6 h agoRep. Thomas Massie has reintroduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, setting up a vote in the House of Representatives in the next two days. The Kentucky Republican's resolution accuses Hegseth of high crimes…
Could Pete Hegseth be impeached?CBS News · 25 h agoCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Could Pete…
Why lawmakers are pushing to impeach Pete HegsethCNN · 7 h agoA key Republican lawmaker introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth this week in a move that could make him the third Cabinet official in US history to be impeached. Here’s what to know about the process the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions