The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
January 9
<1%
0¢
$264K
January 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$2.6M
March 8
<1%
0¢
March 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$2M
April 30
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$733K
May 31
<1%
0¢
$2K
June 30
<1%
▼ 3
1¢
$100.00
$315K
July 31
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$298K
August 31
<1%
0¢
$10.7K
September 30
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$87.9K
October 15
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$20.8K
October 31
>99%
▲ 89
100¢
100¢
$191K
December 31
>99%
▲ 67
100¢
100¢
$169K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
María Corina Machado’s Return Accelerates ‘D-Day’ in VenezuelaOrinoco Tribune · 3 days agoBy Bruno Sgarzini – Nov 4, 2026 “She could have avoided the show, the airports are there,” Delcy Rodríguez said a day after María Corina Machado returned to Caracas accompanied by a caravan of cars during the peak hour of the weekend. A…
Venezuela welcomes opposition leader María Corina Machado homeGlobal Voices · 5 days agoThousands of people took to the Valle-Coche highway in Caracas to welcome the opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado, who returned to Venezuela after 16 months in hiding and ten months in exile. The massive…
Venezuela Protest Camp Ends After 10 MonthsThe Rio Times · 19 h agoRelatives of Venezuelan political prisoners closed their protest camp outside El Rodeo I, a prison near Caracas, on Sunday 8 November 2026 after about 300 days. Clippve, the Venezuelan committee campaigning for their release, says the…
Venezuela Shrimp Magnate Rincón FreedThe Rio Times · 42 h agoA shrimp tycoon whose company the state seized has left a Caracas prison, but the terms of his release and the fate of his business are unclear. José Enrique Rincón, the businessman known in Venezuela as the ‘shrimp king’, left El Rodeo I…
Venezuela Political PrisonersGoshen News · 3 days agoGoshen News Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado greets a relative of a political prisoner outside El Rodeo prison in Guatire, Venezuela, Friday, Nov. 6, 2026. . Halloween trick-or-treating was Saturday, Oct. 31. With the…
APTOPIX Venezuela Political PrisonersPost Register · 3 days agoPost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, center back, stands beside relatives of inmates outside El Rodeo prison in Guatire, Venezuela…
¿Regresa la “Chavidad”?Fox News · 4 days agoFox News Delcy Rodríguez arranca las festividades navideñas este 1 de noviembre en medio del regreso de María Corina Machado
Machado Joins Families at Venezuela PrisonThe Rio Times · 3 days agoVenezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, who won the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for her campaign for democracy, went to the El Rodeo I prison near Caracas on Friday 6 November 2026. She joined families who have kept a vigil there for…
Machado visits camp outside notorious Venezuelan prisonMacau Business · 3 days agoVenezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado visited relatives of political prisoners camping outside a notorious detention facility on Friday, after her recent return from exile. Machado’s homecoming has unsettled Venezuela’s…
Machado Visits Quake Victims in CaracasThe Rio Times · 27 h agoVenezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado visited San Bernardino, a district of Caracas, on Sunday 8 November 2026 and met people affected by the earthquakes of 24 June. Her party, Vente Venezuela, said she toured the area, heard…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions