2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 27, 2031 · $1K traded · $504 at stake · prices read 35 min ago

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The odds

32%PT
  • PT32%▼ 1
  • Republicanos23%▼ 1
  • PL21%▼ 1
  • PSB7%
  • PSD5%
  • NOVO3%
  • Missão2%

How the odds have moved

PT: 32% on Oct 27, 32% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
PT 32% ▼ 1 28¢ 35¢ $2.86 1.1K
Republicanos 23% ▼ 1 20¢ 25¢ $4.00 1.2K
PL 21% ▼ 1 17¢ 24¢ $4.17 1.1K
PSB 7% 3¢ 11¢ $9.09 1.1K
PSD 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.1K
NOVO 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 1.4K
Missão 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 762

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Brazil Presidential

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  • FILE PHOTO: Brazil's presidential runoff electionThe Daily News · 7 days agoThe Daily News | Texas' Oldest Newspaper - Galveston police arrest sex offender in citizen sting - S&P 500 ends down; Apple dips ahead of quarterly report - Galveston County voters turn out in force ahead of Election Day - Galveston…
  • Inside Mississippi's ballot counting in tight Senate raceBBC · 4 days agoThe BBC's Carl Nasman takes us inside a county election commission building as ballots get counted in the surprisingly tight race between Democrat Scott Colom and Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith. With 96% of votes counted as of…
  • Watch: When to expect Senate results from MississippiBBC · 5 days agoDemocrat Scott Colom and Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith are in a surprisingly tight race for a Mississippi senate seat, as thousands of provisional ballots continue to be counted. If Colom wins the race, he would be the first black…
  • Could Democrats in Congress end the war in Iran?BBC · 5 days agoDemocrats swept to victory in the US midterm elections, taking back both the Senate and the House from Republicans. With majority in both chambers, the BBC's Asma Khalid breaks down the new balance of power and what it means in relation to…
  • With Congress flipped, what does Donald Trump do next?BBC · 5 days agoDemocrats have swept the midterms elections, reclaiming control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives. The historic sweep has stripped President Donald Trump of legislative control for his final two years in office, leaving…
  • 'Hopefully things get done': Americans react to historic political shiftBBC · 5 days agoThe BBC spoke to voters from across the US about Democrats taking control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives. Reactions ranged from "absolute happiness" to disappointment. Their responses reflected a range of views and…
  • Colombian Firms Back Brazil Before Lula WinThe Rio Times · 2 days agoColombian companies are deepening their bets on Brazil in oil and power lines, but the biggest deals were signed months before Lula won a fourth term. Colombian companies have spent 2026 expanding in Brazil, and Ecopetrol completed a major…
  • Out actor on his 25-year love affair with ‘Mamma Mia’Washington Blade: LGBTQ News · 2 days agoStephen Miller, key architect of anti-LGBTQ policies, named White House chief of staff Gay, lesbian Md. state lawmakers win re-election Republican Andy Harris wins in Maryland’s 1st district Baltimore lawmaker’s ex-treasurer charged with…
  • Democrats 'got their wish': Voters on midterm resultsBBC · 5 days agoPeople in Texas, Kansas and New York share their reactions after Democrats won the Senate and the House, taking control of Congress for the rest of Donald Trump's presidency. While some welcomed the Democrats' success, others expressed…
  • Comings & GoingsWashington Blade: LGBTQ News · 2 days agoGay, lesbian Md. state lawmakers win re-election Republican Andy Harris wins in Maryland’s 1st district Baltimore lawmaker’s ex-treasurer charged with theft of $87K in campaign cash Maryland passed Question 3. What happens now? Karine…
  • How voter shifts in Texas helped elect a Democratic senator and governorBBC · 5 days agoHistory was made in Texas on Tuesday with two stunning victories for the Democrats. For the first time in history, Texas elected its first Latina governor, and the first Democrat governor since 1995. It also elected its first Democratic…
  • Flávio Bolsonaro Rejects Election Results, Questions Whether Brazil Will Have Elections Again in Greenwald InterviewBreitbart · 3 days agoSen. Flávio Bolsonaro, the frontrunner in this year’s presidential election in Brazil, asserted on Friday that the results showing that incumbent socialist President Luis Inácio Lula da Silva defeated him were “impossible.” Bolsonaro…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions