Who will be Brazilian foreign minister after the election? (Before Jul 1, 2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jul 1, 2027 · $86 traded · $83 at stake · prices read 9 h ago

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The odds

51%Mauro Vieira
  • Mauro Vieira51%▼ 3
  • Maurício Lyrio19%▼ 1
  • Fernando Haddad6%▼ 1
  • Simone Tebet5%▲ 1
  • Maria Laura da Rocha4%▼ 1
  • Celso Amorim4%▼ 1
  • Aloizio Mercadante4%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Mauro Vieira: 55% on Nov 3, 51% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Mauro Vieira 51% ▼ 3 46¢ 55¢ $1.82 140
Maurício Lyrio 19% ▼ 1 14¢ 23¢ $4.35
Fernando Haddad 6% ▼ 1 1¢ 10¢ $10.00
Simone Tebet 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 9¢ $11.11
Maria Laura da Rocha 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 222
Celso Amorim 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 126
Aloizio Mercadante 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 49.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Brazilian, Mauro Vieira, Maurício Lyrio

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  • Brazil, Venezuela foreign ministers discuss trade, Amazon cooperationCentral Oregon Daily · 6 days agoForeign Affairs Minister of Brazil Mauro Vieira gives a statement during the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Trilateral Meeting with Brazil on the sidelines of the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting in Pasay City, Philippines…
  • How American leftists, including Mamdani’s team, are being trained by Brazilian revolutionariesNew York Post · 3 days agoLast week, Brazil’s leftist president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, scored an upset victory over right-wing challenger Flávio Bolsonaro—son of jailed former president Jair Bolsonaro—in a presidential runoff. “Lula,” as he is known, is among…
  • How elderly ‘unsung heroes’ powered Lula’s historic fightback in Brazilthe Guardian · 5 days agoOlder voters praised for helping tip balance in leftwing president’s favour against far-right Flávio Bolsonaro in runoff It had been nearly a decade since Celia de Oliveira Soares last voted, and months since the 101-year-old…
  • Lula govt sees Trump’s midterm setback as chance to mend U.S. tiesvalorinternational · 3 days agoThe Lula administration sees U.S. President Donald Trump’s setback in the midterm elections as an opportunity to normalize relations between the two countries. According to officials close to Lula, however, any realignment is likely to be…
  • São Paulo governor balances politics and technocracy for new cabinetvalorinternational · 5 days agoReelected São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans) has stepped up talks with allies to form his cabinet for his next term, amid the challenge of balancing positions for the political base that helped pave the way for his…
  • Brazilian court curbs Meta’s use of local media to train AIsemafor.com · 6 days agoThe decision follows allegations from Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva that Meta favored his challenger in recent elections. A Brazilian court ordered Meta to stop collecting content from local media outlets to train its AI…
  • G20 Foreign Ministers in Atlanta: What to KnowThe Rio Times · 5 days agoG20 foreign ministers met in Atlanta on 30 and 31 October 2026, ahead of the leaders summit in Miami on 14 and 15 December. This page gathers our background and every Rio Times report on the G20 under the US presidency. Atlanta talks ended…
  • Electoral fraud and the Brazilian missing peaks@kingscollegelon · 4 days agoDalson Figueiredo is Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science and CNPq Research Fellow. Ernani Carvalho is Full Professor in the Department of Political Science and Dean of the Graduate Program in Public Policy at UFPE…
  • Brazil’s Senate approves Lula’s main bet to tackle criminal gangsThe Washington Post · 6 days agoThe Washington Post Brazil’s Senate has approved legislation that strengthens the government’s power to fight criminal gangs SAO PAULO — Brazil’s Senate approved on Tuesday legislation that strengthens the government’s power to fight…
  • Brazil Electoral Court Probes Lula TicketThe Rio Times · 4 days agoBrazil’s electoral court opened an investigation on Thursday 5 November into President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Vice President Geraldo Alckmin. It acted on a complaint from the Novo party, which alleges abuse of political power in the…
  • Brazil's Senate makes an important decision concerning KazakhstanDKNews.kz · 3 days agoKazakhstan has received an invitation from Brazil. The country has been invited to join the Advisory Council of the Parliamentary Front for World Peace (Frente Parlamentar pela Paz Mundial), established at Brazil's Federal Senate…
  • Brazil F1 GP Auto RacingDaily Record · 4 days agodailyrecordnews.com - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Aston Martin driver Fernando Alonso of Spain speaks during a press conference ahead of the Brazilian Formula One Grand Prix in Sao Paulo…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions