Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo (Before Oct 27, 2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 27, 2027 · $355 today · $7.8K traded · $5.1K at stake · prices read 31 min ago

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The odds

52%Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats
  • Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats52%▼ 2
  • Lula, Netanyahu, Democrats8%▲ 2
  • Lula, Bennett, Democrats1%

How the odds have moved

Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats: 3% on Oct 19, 52% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 4, 11 PM ETLula, Eizenkot, Democrats: 33% → 52%
  2. Oct 25, 11 PM ETLula, Eizenkot, Democrats: 2% → 44%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats 52% ▼ 2 49¢ 55¢ $1.82 12.7K
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Republicans 18% ▼ 12 $5.56 2.5K
Lula, Netanyahu, Democrats 8% ▲ 2 7¢ 9¢ $11.11 7.3K
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Republicans 3% ▼ 12 $33.33 1.9K
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Democrats 3% ▼ 12 $33.33 2.1K
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Democrats 1% ▼ 31 $100.00 3.4K
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Democrats 1% ▼ 3 $100.00 215
Lula, Eizenkot, Republicans 1% ▲ 1 $100.00 1.9K
Lula, Netanyahu, Republicans 1% ▲ 1 $100.00 1.7K
Lula, Bennett, Democrats 1% 2¢ $50.00 617
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Republicans —
Lula, Bennett, Republicans —

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Israel, Gaza, Netanyahu

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  • The Israeli elections prove Netanyahu’s political prowessWashington Examiner · 3 days agoWashington Examiner Those banking on a loss for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in last week’s elections were sorely mistaken. Although neither his bloc nor the opposition has a straightforward path to forming the next…
  • US midterm results may help unite Israeli coalition to unseat Netanyahuthe Guardian · 3 days agoDemocrats’ sweep could urge Israel’s divided opposition to join forces and remove prime minister closely allied with Trump But as Israel took stock of the results, there was also a sense that the elections marked a longer-term shift in US…
  • Arab grouping backs Netanyahu challenger for next Israeli governmentsemafor.com · 4 days agoIsrael’s largest Arab party grouping declared its support Thursday for Gadi Eisenkot to form the next government. Israel’s largest Arab party grouping declared its support Thursday for Gadi Eisenkot to form the next government…
  • Israel’s Arab parties choose between ‘bad and even worse’ as they back Gadi Eisenkot over Netanyahu to form governmentWashington Examiner · 4 days agoIsrael's Arab parties choose between 'bad and even worse' Washington Examiner The ethnic Arab parties of Israel have thrown their support behind Yashar party chairman Gadi Eisenkot, cementing his case to form a government over that of…
  • Israel Palestinians GazaDaily News-Record · 4 days agoDaily News-Record Palestinian fishermen tend to their nets beside boats pulled ashore at the port in Gaza City, Friday, Nov. 6, 2026. An unscientific take on an issue in the news. What time of year do you look forward to most? Find the…
  • Israeli fire kills five in GazaThe Daily Star · 3 days agoIsraeli strikes and gunfire on Thursday killed five people across Gaza, including a woman and a 12-year-old boy, rescue services in the war-ravaged Palestinian territory told AFP. Copyright: Any unauthorized use or reproduction of The…
  • Gaza turns discarded cooking pots into seawallsAl Jazeera · 4 days agoAl Jazeera Gaza turns discarded cooking pots into seawalls As winter approaches, aid groups in Gaza are turning damaged cooking pots into makeshift seawalls to protect shelters and schools from flooding. Al Jazeera’s Tareq Abu Azzoum…
  • Israeli forces kill 15-year-old boy in GazaMiddle East Eye · 3 days agoMiddle East Eye Israeli forces kill 15-year-old boy in Gaza Israeli forces killed a 15-year-old Palestinian boy in al-Mawasi, west of Khan Younis in southern Gaza, on Friday, the Palestinian news agency Wafa reported. Mohammed Nidal…
  • Netanyahu faces coalition showdown as rivals maneuver to form Israel's next governmentFox News · 6 days agoFox News senior White House correspondent Jacqui Heinrich joins ‘America Reports’ to report on President Donald Trump’s announcement that the U.S. will halt aid to Israel at the end of the year and his closing push as midterm voting gets…
  • APTOPIX Israel Palestinians GazaBluefield Daily Telegraph · 4 days agoBluefield Daily Telegraph Palestinian Civil Defense crews attempt to extinguish a burning car struck by an Israeli military strike in Gaza City Monday, Nov. 2, 2026. - What to know after Israel's election results give neither Netanyahu nor…
  • Two Palestinians Martyred in Israeli Airstrikes on GazaMENA · 3 days agoJordan News Two Palestinians Martyred in Israeli Airstrikes on Gaza
  • Israel’s election commission rejects Netanyahu claims of voting fraudthe Guardian · 6 days agoMove comes after attorney general blocked Shin Bet call to interrogate politicians from Palestinian-led parties Israel’s election commission on Wednesday confirmed the final results of the 27 October vote that stripped Benjamin Netanyahu’s…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions