Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%▲ 1
- Richmond, CA64%▲ 1
- Boulder, CO59%▲ 1
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%▲ 1
- Binghamton, NY38%▼ 1
Install
Will Newsom call a California special session? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
23%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 21% on Oct 19, 23% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 23% | ▲ 1 | 19¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 1.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Newsom, California
Search ›- California voters decide who will succeed Newsom in consequential governor's raceRepublican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton discusses homelessness, taxpayer spending and Democratic leadership during a tour of Skid Row with Fox News Digital. The Fox News Decision Desk projects former Biden Health and Human Services…
- Gavin Newsom is almost out of office. Will he empty California’s death row first?Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Newsom, a potential…
- Newsom proposes $1 billion California film and TV tax creditThe proposal comes a year after more than doubling California's tax credit program for the state's embattled industry. Gavin Newsom speaks at a campaign event ahead of the midterms on Sunday in Hollywood. | Jill Connelly/AP 11/02/2026…
- Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, weighing 2028 runs, rally together in CaliforniaBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The California…
- Gavin Newsom Proposes Expanding California’s Movie and TV Tax Credit to at Least $1 BillionProposal would extend tax credit program in state through 2040 California Gov. Gavin Newsom, on the eve of the 2026 midterm elections, is calling for another major expansion of the state’s Film and TV Tax Credit Program. Newsom is…
- Newsom fires back at ICE, Trump over illegal voting warningFox News Newsom fires back at ICE, Trump over illegal voting warning Gov. Gavin Newsom slams ICE over warnings against illegal voting in California. The governor warns federal agents that President Donald Trump will not be able to save or…
- Gavin Newsom threatens against election tampering | CNN PoliticsCalifornia Governor Gavin Newsom warned voters against tampering in the election, telling them, "If you interfere, you will be prosecuted." President Trump only briefly mentioned tomorrow's midterm elections, spending much more of the…
- AOC, Newsom and Rubio gain momentum for 2028 after midterm shakeup: Dem strategistFox News AOC, Newsom and Rubio gain momentum for 2028 after midterm shakeup: Dem strategist Former Clinton advisor Doug Schoen and Carter Intelligence Group CEO Lee Hartley Carter analyze the potential 2028 presidential contenders…
- Gavin Newsom votes on Election Day in CaliforniaNBC Los Angeles Gavin Newsom votes on Election Day in California US & World Videos Pete Hegseth quotes fake Bible verse from ‘Pulp Fiction' at Pentagon prayer service
- California picks Xavier Becerra to replace Gavin Newsom as governorNews from the Central Coast Election night, Nov. 3 · Updated Follow our live election coverage for the whole county. Xavier Becerra is California’s next governor after easily securing a victory that ensures Democrats continue their 16-year…
- California Gov. Newsom threatens to arrest ICE agents at polling stationsLIVE: Election results start rolling in as polls on the East Coast begin closing. WASHINGTON (TNND) — California Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom said Tuesday that if Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents come to the polls, he would…
- Newsom Challenges ICE: Threatens Arrests if Agency Interferes in California ElectionsCalifornia Governor Gavin Newsom warned on Tuesday, November 3, that the state will seek to detain and prosecute federal agents who illegally interfere with the elections. The statement responded to a message from the Immigration and…
Related markets
All states & cities ›Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
55%chance
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 1
Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact? (Before Nov 7, 2028)
57%Wisconsin
- Wisconsin57%▲ 1
- Arizona56%▲ 8
- Michigan48%▲ 1
2 more
- Nevada36%▲ 1
- Pennsylvania26%▲ 1
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
172.32Mmedian
165.00M195.00M
Median 172.32MMiddle half 170.28M – 174.35M
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
6%Chamath Palihapitiya
- Chamath Palihapitiya6%
- Palmer Luckey5%
- Larry Page5%▼ 14
4 more
- Mark Zuckerberg5%
- Peter Thiel4%
- Marc Andreessen4%
- Jensen Huang4%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions