Kansas Governor winner? (2027)
>99%Cindy Holscher
- Cindy Holscher>99%
- Ty Masterson<1%
Install
Closest Governor race in 2026?
The odds
92%Kansas
- Kansas92%▲ 3
- Alaska3%
- Nebraska1%
- Florida1%
- Oklahoma1%
- Texas<1%
- South Carolina<1%
- South Dakota<1%
- Colorado<1%
- Oregon<1%
- Vermont<1%
- Nevada<1%
12 more
- Maine<1%
- Minnesota<1%
- New Mexico<1%
- New York<1%
- Pennsylvania<1%
- Arizona<1%
- Michigan<1%
- Wisconsin<1%
- Georgia<1%
- Iowa<1%
- Ohio<1%
- New Hampshire<1%
How the odds have moved
Kansas: 7% on Oct 20, 92% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 7, 11 PM ETKansas: 87% → 93%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Nov 4, 11 PM ETKansas: 16% → 91%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | 92% | ▲ 3 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 32.7K |
| Alaska | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 26.9K | |
| Nebraska | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 16.5K | ||
| Florida | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 15.5K | ||
| Oklahoma | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 7.6K | ||
| Texas | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 21.3K | ||
| South Carolina | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.2K | ||
| South Dakota | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.2K | ||
| Colorado | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.2K | ||
| Oregon | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.7K | ||
| Vermont | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 10.0K | ||
| Nevada | <1% | 1¢ | 25.9K | |||
| Maine | <1% | 0¢ | 18.1K | |||
| Minnesota | <1% | 0¢ | 13.2K | |||
| New Mexico | <1% | 0¢ | 12.4K | |||
| New York | <1% | 0¢ | 16.3K | |||
| Pennsylvania | <1% | 0¢ | 19.3K | |||
| Arizona | <1% | 0¢ | 27.3K | |||
| Michigan | <1% | 0¢ | 21.7K | |||
| Wisconsin | <1% | 0¢ | 29.1K | |||
| Georgia | <1% | 0¢ | 41.6K | |||
| Iowa | <1% | 0¢ | 26.3K | |||
| Ohio | <1% | 0¢ | 21.3K | |||
| New Hampshire | <1% | 0¢ | 11.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Closest Governor
Search ›- Voters weigh governors’ races – and other big local electionsBeyond the race for Congress, the U.S. midterms feature possible swings in control of key governorships and statehouses. Our map shows the hot spots. The midterm elections are about more than just control of Congress. Voters are facing…
- US midterm election night: When Irish viewers can expect the key callsWith Ireland five hours ahead of the east coast, the first US midterm polls will close at 11pm our time. But that’s only half the story. Florida and North Carolina usually count most of their vote within hours. Pennsylvania and Wisconsin…
- Acton, Brown make final election push in Dayton with help from John LegendU.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown (left) and Democratic Ohio gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton and (right) wave to the crowd after speaking at The Brightside Music and Event Venue in Dayton on Monday, Oct. 26, a week before the Nov. 3…
- From Ohio To Texas, Seven Governor Races That Could Test Trump’s Grip On AmericaAs Americans begin casting their ballots ahead of the November 3 election, the race for governors’ mansions is attracting attention across the country. A total of 36 governorships will be decided this year, with several contests expected…
- Nevada voter ID ballot measure faces little public pushback from state DemocratsBy Ava Chatlosh (contact) Thursday, Oct. 22, 2026 | 2 a.m. Nevada’s proposed voter ID requirement is back on the ballot after winning overwhelming support two years ago — and opponents have mounted little public resistance as voters…
- 2026 midterms: 7 key governor races to watch and where they stand(NewsNation) — With early voting underway in several states, 36 governorships are on the ballot Nov. 3. Decision Desk HQ's forecast (as of Oct. 18) has Democrats favored in 21 of the 36 races, with four rated as toss-ups. These are the…
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Kansas Governor Election Winner
99%Cindy Holscher (D)
- Cindy Holscher (D)99%
- Ty Masterson (R)<1%
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional) (2026 midterms)
11%At least 3
29
South Dakota Governor margin of victory
25.5median
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Median 25.5Middle half 24.7 – 26.3
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94%Hinojosa, 7+ pts
08
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions