Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
New Mexico
71%
▲ 1
66¢
75¢
$1.33
Maine
66%
▲ 1
61¢
70¢
$1.43
New Hampshire
59%
▲ 1
54¢
63¢
$1.59
8.00
Michigan
50%
▲ 1
46¢
53¢
$1.89
149
Georgia
48%
▲ 1
44¢
52¢
$1.92
299
Wisconsin
33%
▲ 1
28¢
37¢
$2.70
1.00
Maryland
31%
▲ 1
26¢
35¢
$2.86
1.00
California
29%
27¢
31¢
$3.23
43.00
Indiana
28%
▲ 1
25¢
32¢
$3.13
508
North Carolina
28%
▲ 1
23¢
32¢
$3.13
208
Ohio
27%
▲ 1
22¢
31¢
$3.23
255
Iowa
21%
▲ 1
16¢
25¢
$4.00
314
Oklahoma
18%
14¢
22¢
$4.55
201
Rhode Island
16%
11¢
20¢
$5.00
104
Louisiana
13%
9¢
17¢
$5.88
107
Minnesota
13%
11¢
14¢
$7.14
1.00
New Jersey
13%
10¢
15¢
$6.67
1.00
Virginia
13%
8¢
17¢
$5.88
Colorado
11%
9¢
13¢
$7.69
Missouri
11%
7¢
14¢
$7.14
228
Illinois
10%
8¢
11¢
$9.09
1.00
Kansas
10%
5¢
14¢
$7.14
Tennessee
10%
5¢
14¢
$7.14
77.00
Washington
10%
5¢
14¢
$7.14
Arizona
9%
▼ 1
4¢
13¢
$7.69
222
Hawaii
9%
4¢
13¢
$7.69
163
Pennsylvania
9%
▼ 1
4¢
13¢
$7.69
38.00
Vermont
9%
4¢
13¢
$7.69
1.00
Alaska
8%
6¢
10¢
$10.00
124
Massachusetts
8%
6¢
10¢
$10.00
1.00
Delaware
8%
3¢
12¢
$8.33
Florida
8%
3¢
12¢
$8.33
South Carolina
7%
3¢
11¢
$9.09
67.00
Connecticut
6%
2¢
10¢
$10.00
Nevada
6%
2¢
9¢
$11.11
Nebraska
5%
2¢
8¢
$12.50
South Dakota
5%
9¢
$11.11
Alabama
4%
8¢
$12.50
124
Kentucky
4%
8¢
$12.50
Montana
4%
8¢
$12.50
Arkansas
4%
7¢
$14.29
123
Idaho
4%
7¢
$14.29
Mississippi
4%
7¢
$14.29
14.00
North Dakota
4%
7¢
$14.29
Utah
4%
7¢
$14.29
West Virginia
4%
7¢
$14.29
Wyoming
4%
7¢
$14.29
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
New Hampshire Governor resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for the 2026 New Hampshire Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. New Hampshire Governor results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits…
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New Mexico Governor resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for the 2026 New Mexico Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. New Mexico Governor results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for…
New Mexico election resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for New Mexico in the 2026 midterm election. Track U.S. Senate, U.S. House and governor races with real-time vote counts and maps from AP. New Mexico election results AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results…
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Chris Pappas wins New Hampshire 2026 Senate electionCBS News · 6 days agoUpdated on: November 3, 2026 / 8:33 PM EST / CBS News Washington — Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas defeated former GOP Sen. John Sununu in the New Hampshire Senate race, CBS News projects, keeping the seat in Democratic control after Sen…
Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas will win New Hampshire’s open Senate seatCNN · 6 days agoCNN Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas will win New Hampshire’s open Senate seat Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas will win New Hampshire’s open Senate seat, CNN projects, making history as the first out gay man to be elected to the chamber. Election…
Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte secures re-election in New HampshireNBC News · 6 days agoRepublican Gov. Kelly Ayotte has won a second two-year term in New Hampshire, a state that has trended blue at the national level, NBC News projects. Ayotte fended off a challenge from Democrat Cinde Warmington, a former state Executive…
Kelly Ayotte wins reelection as governor of New HampshireCBS News · 6 days agoNovember 4, 2026 / 5:58 AM EST / AP Republican Kelly Ayotte won election Wednesday as governor of New Hampshire, defeating Democrat Cinde Warmington. The state elects its governor every two years. Ayotte, a former state attorney general…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions