Brazil Federal District Governor winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closed Oct 25 · $15 today · $2.3K traded · $2.2K at stake

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Settled Celina LeãoA day before, traders gave it 98%.

The last odds before it closed

99%Celina Leão
  • ✓ Celina Leão99%▲ 1
  • Arruda6%
  • Leandro Grass1%▼ 1
  • Cappelli—
  • Elisson—
  • Expedito Mendonça—
  • Kiko Caputo—
  • Paula Belmonte—
  • Professor Robson—
  • Professora Samara Mineiro—
  • Rico Pinheiro—

How the odds have moved

Celina Leão: 99% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Celina Leão 99% 2.3K
✗ Arruda 6% 207
✗ Leandro Grass 1% 670
✗ Cappelli —
✗ Elisson —
✗ Expedito Mendonça —
✗ Kiko Caputo —
✗ Paula Belmonte —
✗ Professor Robson —
✗ Professora Samara Mineiro —
✗ Rico Pinheiro —

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Brazil Federal District Governor, Celina Leão, Leandro Grass

Search ›
  • Brazil Holds Six Governor Runoffs 25 OctoberThe Rio Times · 26 days agoBRAZIL · ELECTIONS 2026 · GOVERNOR RUNOFFS Rio de Janeiro will not vote again, because its electoral court confirmed Douglas Ruas of the conservative Liberal Party (PL) as the outright winner on 10 October. Governors run state police…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions