Will the 2028 Democratic presidential primary be fractured?

Kalshi Elections › Primaries Closes Aug 31, 2028 · prices read 31 min ago

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The odds

41%chance▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 40% on Nov 7, 41% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 41% ▲ 1 36¢ 45¢ $2.22

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All primaries ›

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

27%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff27%▲ 1
  • Kamala Harris13%▼ 2
  • Andy Beshear6%▲ 4
12 more
  • Gavin Newsom5%
  • Wes Moore5%
  • Rahm Emanuel4%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro4%▼ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez3%
  • J.B. Pritzker3%▲ 2
  • James Talarico3%▲ 2
  • Pete Buttigieg2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Ro Khanna2%
  • Michelle Obama2%
  • Jon Stewart1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $39 today

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions