Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%
- Richmond, CA64%
- Boulder, CO59%
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%
- Binghamton, NY38%▼ 1
Install
How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?
The odds
158,235median
100,000230,000
Median 158,235Middle half 132,000 – 192,778
How the odds have moved
Median: 158,889 on Oct 20, 158,235 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 110,000 | 91% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | |
| Above 120,000 | 81% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | |
| Above 130,000 | 77% | ▲ 1 | 74¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 6.0K |
| Above 140,000 | 67% | ▲ 1 | 63¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 1.3K |
| Above 150,000 | 57% | ▲ 1 | 53¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 1.2K |
| Above 160,000 | 49% | ▲ 1 | 45¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 4.0K |
| Above 170,000 | 37% | ▲ 1 | 33¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 416 |
| Above 180,000 | 32% | ▲ 1 | 28¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 27.00 |
| Above 190,000 | 28% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 610 |
| Above 200,000 | 19% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 1.00 |
| Above 210,000 | 13% | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| Above 220,000 | 9% | 5¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All states & cities ›Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
55%chance
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 1
Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact? (Before Nov 7, 2028)
57%Wisconsin
- Wisconsin57%▲ 1
- Arizona56%▲ 8
- Michigan48%▲ 1
2 more
- Nevada36%▲ 1
- Pennsylvania26%▲ 1
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
172.32Mmedian
165.00M195.00M
Median 172.32MMiddle half 170.28M – 174.35M
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
8%Larry Page
- Larry Page8%▲ 3
- Chamath Palihapitiya6%
- Palmer Luckey5%
4 more
- Mark Zuckerberg5%
- Peter Thiel4%
- Marc Andreessen4%
- Jensen Huang4%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions