When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? (Before Jan 1, 2029)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jan 1, 2029 · $1 today · $6.2K traded · $2.3K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

Nov 18, 2027even chance by
  • Before Jan 1, 20272%
  • Before Jun 1, 202718%
  • Before Jan 1, 202859%
  • Before Jul 1, 202871%
  • Before Jan 1, 202980%

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 3% on Oct 20, 2% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Sep 1, 2026 <1% 76.2K
Before Jan 1, 2027 2% 1¢ 4¢ $27.03 43.1K
Before Jun 1, 2027 18% 15¢ 20¢ $5.00 20.5K
Before Jan 1, 2028 59% 58¢ 59¢ $1.69 1.3K
Before Jul 1, 2028 71% 67¢ 75¢ $1.33 158
Before Jan 1, 2029 80% 76¢ 84¢ $1.19 51.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Venezuela, Maduro

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  • The Destruction of Venezuela’s Economy under Chávez and MaduroMises Institute · 3 days agoIn the Venezuelan case, the first beneficiaries were the state and its circle of associates, while those who bore the effects last were workers, teachers, and retirees, whose incomes lost purchasing power before they could spend them in…
  • The Destruction Of Venezuela’s Economy Under Chávez And Maduro – OpEdEurasia Review · 3 days agoIn the Venezuelan case, the first beneficiaries were the state and its circle of associates, while those who bore the effects last were workers, teachers, and retirees, whose incomes lost purchasing power before they could spend them in…
  • Stephen Miller Unleashes Fire Over Venezuela Strike: 'Damn Straight' We Seized Maduro to Protect Americaredstate.com · 3 days agoSenior White House advisor Stephen Miller delivered an unapologetic, full-throated defense of the operation that captured Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, in a recent appearance on CNN. That defense came about…
  • Jailed Maduro Hits 92% in Venezuela MarketThe Rio Times · 4 days agoTraders on Polymarket now put the chance that Nicolás Maduro, the jailed former president, is Venezuela’s head of state on 31 December at about 92%, up about 17 points in a week. That price sits awkwardly with the facts. Maduro was…
  • Mysterious billionaire shows off ‘America’s oil’ — and Trump’s VenezuelaThe Washington Post · 41 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. A visit to the…
  • Florida’s most Venezuelan city put the Republican Party on noticeThe Washington Post · 2 days agoOf all the places that got swept up in the Democratic “blue wave,” one of the most unlikely was the heart of the Venezuelan diaspora in the U.S. Doral, a city in South Florida often called “Doralzuela” for its large concentration of…
  • Special Report Part 5: What Was Life Like Under Nicolás Maduro?Liberty Nation News · 40 h agoIndependent news and opinion from a constitutional perspective. Your morning advantage. Critical news, fearless analysis, and the truth mainstream media won't tell you—delivered before your first coffee. Special Report Part 5: What Was…
  • US kidnapped Maduro to establish control over Venezuelan oil — senior Russian MPTASS · 5 days agoKonstantin Kosachev recalled that Venezuela has the world's largest oil reserves - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section →- Business & Economy Business & EconomyInto section → - Military & Defense…
  • Venezuela Political PrisonersPost Register · 3 days agoPost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado stands beside a relative of an inmate who shouts to prisoners outside El Rodeo prison in Guatire…
  • Trinidad Backs Venezuela Gas After US VoteThe Rio Times · 42 h agoEnergy: Trinidad and Tobago Trinidad and Tobago’s energy minister said on Saturday 7 November 2026 that the Democratic gains in the US midterm elections will not disrupt his country’s gas work with Venezuela. Roodal Moonilal spoke days…
  • APTOPIX Venezuela Political PrisonersPost Register · 3 days agoPost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, center back, stands beside relatives of inmates outside El Rodeo prison in Guatire, Venezuela…
  • Colombia Venezuela DeportationsGoshen News · 3 days agoGoshen News Colombian migration agents talks to Venezuelans held in police custody before their deportation at the Tienditas International Bridge border with Venezuela, in Cucuta, Colombia, Friday, Nov. 6, 2026. Halloween trick-or-treating…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions