How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (11/8 - 11/14) (Nov 8, 2026 to Nov 14, 2026)
0.80median
-15
Median 0.80Middle half 0.10 – 1.61
Install
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (11/1 - 11/7) (Nov 1, 2026 to Nov 7, 2026)
The odds
1%Above 0
-15
How the odds have moved
Above 0: 71% on Nov 1, 1% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 11 PM ETAbove 0: 79% → 53%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 25.3K | ||
| Above 1 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 34.0K | ||
| Above 2 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 17.9K | ||
| Above 3 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 13.7K | ||
| Above 4 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 27.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Executive Orders
Search ›- FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Donald Trump signs executive orders at the White HouseThe Lufkin Daily News - Two Lufkinites among those arrested in connection with 2022 Lakes Area Pawn Shop burglary - Lufkin council to discuss Gee's future amid workplace concerns - Angelina County grand juries hand up 92 indictments…
- How do US executive orders work and what can Trump do after losing Congress?Donald Trump remained defiant after the US Midterm elections, which saw his Republican Party lose control of Congress. The Democratic Party has now won the House of Representatives and the Senate, which will make life harder for the…
- Defining the president’s constitutional powers to issue executive ordersJanuary 29, 2025 | by Scott Bomboy Among the most powerful tools available to the president are executive orders, which are written policy directives issued by the president with much of the same power as federal law. However, such orders…
- Executive orders reset the baseline, Congress fills the docket, and the world invests in watching the ocean.From late August to mid-October, the White House kept reshaping federal environmental policy by executive order. Congress answered with a run of bipartisan bills, and governments abroad put new money and signatures behind ocean science and…
- Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to 'Gulf of America' among 1st executive ordersThe president reiterated his plan during his inaugural address Monday. Among the first executive orders signed by President Donald Trump was an order to rename the Gulf of Mexico to the newly named "Gulf of America." "President Trump is…
- Trump’s elevation of Stephen Miller a middle finger to millions of votersArchitect of Trump’s far-right immigration agenda is now most powerful unelected figure in government – it suggests White House is moving to a war footing Donald Trump just gave the middle finger to millions of American voters. Any other…
- From the front row to the hot seat — what the midterms mean for Big TechRight before the midterm elections, OpenAI hired Jessica Schumer, daughter of Democratic Sen. Chuck Schumer. The company also said it would start calling its data centers “compute campuses.” Not everyone expects them to work. Alice…
- Victor Davis Hanson Weighs in on President Trump’s Options on Policy Without Congress (VIDEO)Historian and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, Victor Davis Hanson, was on Newsmax‘s Bianca Across the Nation with host Bianca de la Garza to discuss President Trump’s options now that he does not have a majority in Congress…
- Promotion of Miller Suggests Trump's PlansStephen Miller's promotion could define the rest of President Trump's term. The selection of the immigration and crime hard-liner as White House chief of staff signals... Promotion of Miller Suggests Trump's Plans Stephen Miller's…
- Head of Justice Department office on Civil Rights resignsThe head of the Justice Department's Civil Rights Division, Harmeet Dhillon, is out after 18 tumultuous months in charge. Dhillon is the first senior department official to depart the Trump administration since Democrats retook control of…
- President Trump Was Right: Tariffs and Tax Cuts Are Reshoring Manufacturing, Creating JobsThe October jobs report crushed expectations, confirming that President Trump’s America First agenda is delivering a manufacturing renaissance. Tariffs and tax cuts are bringing production home, strengthening supply chains, raising…
- How Trump and Democrats can navigate divided governmentBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. With Democrats poised…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
35%Pete Hegseth
- Pete Hegseth35%▼ 8
- Will Scharf30%▼ 11
- Amy Gleason28%▼ 5
37 more
- Stanley Woodward28%▼ 4
- Trent McCotter28%▼ 10
- Howard Lutnick26%▲ 6
- Christopher Landau25%
- Kash Patel22%▼ 2
- Doug Collins21%▲ 1
- Brad Cooper20%▼ 1
- Dan Caine19%▼ 4
- Kevin Hassett19%▲ 1
- Linda McMahon18%▼ 2
- Steven Cheung18%▼ 14
- Peter Navarro17%▼ 2
- Sergio Gor17%▼ 8
- Brooke Rollins16%▼ 1
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.15%▼ 1
- Chris Wright14%
- Doug Burgum14%
- Marco Rubio14%▼ 3
- John Ratcliffe14%▼ 2
- Jamieson Greer13%▲ 2
- Bill Pulte13%▼ 1
- Scott Turner13%▲ 1
- Kelly Loeffler13%▼ 6
- Joe Gebbia13%▲ 2
- Steve Witkoff12%▼ 6
- Mehmet Oz12%▼ 2
- Tom Homan12%▼ 2
- Todd Blanche11%▼ 6
- Mike Huckabee10%▼ 1
- Rodney Scott10%▼ 1
- Mike Waltz10%▼ 8
- Sean Duffy10%▼ 1
- Russell Vought8%
- Scott Bessent8%
- Lee Zeldin8%
- Tilman Fertitta7%▲ 1
- Brendan Carr5%▼ 1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
34%chance▼ 9
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
99%Susie Wiles
- Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
- None before 2027<1%▼ 17
- J.D. Vance<1%▼ 1
18 more
- Marco Rubio<1%▼ 17
- Scott Bessent<1%▼ 2
- Pete Hegseth<1%▼ 33
- Doug Burgum<1%▼ 2
- Brooke Rollins<1%▼ 1
- Howard Lutnick<1%▼ 2
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%▼ 3
- Scott Turner<1%
- Sean Duffy<1%
- Chris Wright<1%▼ 1
- Linda McMahon<1%
- Doug Collins<1%
- Lee Zeldin<1%▼ 1
- Russell T. Vought<1%
- John Ratcliffe<1%
- Jamieson Greer<1%▼ 1
- Mike Waltz<1%▼ 2
- Kelly Loeffler<1%▼ 1
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Trump out as President before 2027?
2%chance
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