Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Isamaa
42%
▲ 1
40¢
46¢
$2.17
348
Centre Party
37%
34¢
41¢
$2.44
532
Social Democrats
8%
4¢
12¢
$8.33
109
EKRE
6%
2¢
11¢
$9.09
Reform Party
6%
3¢
10¢
$10.00
25.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Estonia’s Centre Party tops poll with 24.2% support — ERR NewsUA.NEWS · 5 days agoIn Estonia, the Centre Party has topped a new Norstat public opinion poll, receiving 24.2% support. It was followed by Isamaa with 23% and the Social Democratic Party with 17.4%, ERR News reports. Over the week, support for the Centre…
Swedish parliament rejects Centre Party leader as next prime ministerThe Local Sweden · 7 days agoThe Swedish parliament has, as expected, voted against Centre Party leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist as prime minister. Moderate Party leader Ulf Kristersson will now get the next shot at forming a government. Only the Centre Party's 25…
Left Party, Greens and Social Democrats Launch Coalition Talks in BerlinUS Muslims · 7 days agoParties report positive initial discussions on budget but warn of major challenges as they seek sustainable long-term financial strategy BERLIN (AA) - Germany's Social Democrats, Greens and Left Party began formal coalition negotiations…
Estonia’s Social Democrats nominate Vseviov for prime minister — ERR NewsUA.NEWS · 8 days agoThe council of Estonia’s Social Democratic Party (SDE) has officially endorsed the nomination of Jonatan Vseviov as a candidate for prime minister in the Riigikogu elections to be held on March 7, 2027. This was reported by ERR News…
Today in Sweden: A roundup of the latest news on FridayThe Local Sweden · 4 days agoSweden Democrat leader to give update on far right's cabinet demands – and Stockholm taxi firms rattled as low-cost rival branches into Sweden. Here's the latest news. Sweden Democrat leader to give update on far right's cabinet demands…
Social Democrats council endorses Jonatan Vseviov's prime minister bidERR · 9 days agoThe Social Democratic Party (SDE) council has formally endorsed Jonatan Vseviov as their party's candidate for prime minister in the 2027 Riigikogu elections. Vseviov, who stepped down as secretary general at the Foreign Ministry to run in…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions