Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
86%New Bedford, MA
- New Bedford, MA86%▲ 1
- Richmond, CA64%▲ 1
- Boulder, CO59%▲ 1
2 more
- Atlanta, GA39%▲ 1
- Binghamton, NY38%▼ 1
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Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President? (Before Jul 1, 2027)
The odds
11%Before Jul 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 20272%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202711%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 2% on Oct 19, 2% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.9K |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 11% | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Shawn Fain, UAW President
Search ›- UAW president lays out why working class vote is not chained to DemocratsShawn Fain told Fox News Digital that working class voters are independently minded and may support the GOP in 2028 if they make the right promises. UAW president lays out why working class vote is not chained to Democrats Shawn Fain told…
- Top union boss drops 2028 warning on Democrats amid blue wave celebration: 'Wake-up call'Shawn Fain told Fox News Digital that working class voters are independently minded and may support the GOP in 2028 if they make the right promises. DETROIT — As results poured in from across the country Tuesday night and a blue wave began…
- The UAW Bet on Abdul El-Sayed and WonThe United Auto Workers backed Abdul El-Sayed in a close Senate primary, then mobilized members across Michigan. Its sights are set on the next fight with the Big Three. The UAW played a key role backing Abdul El-Sayed’s Senate campaign in…
- John Deere Calls Laid-Off Iowa Workers Back to JobsJohn Deere has been calling laid-off workers back to their jobs. Deere & Co. officials are requesting 275 previously laid-off employees at its Waterloo, Iowa, factory return to work. When added to previously announced callbacks, that means…
- The UAW needs a strategy for the future of manufacturingHome » The UAW needs a strategy for the future of manufacturing The UAW has a problem: The future of the auto industry. UAW President Shawn Fain—whose entire slate swept the recent election for top office—has rhetorically distanced himself…
- Lawmakers demand UAW explain John Deere contract vote, citing concerns of ‘compromising’ election process(The Daily Signal) – Two congressional lawmakers sent a letter to the president of the United Auto Workers Friday demanding an explanation for the union’s approach toward an Aug. 23 vote on a potential John Deere contract continuation…
- “Our union is for the company not the members”: UAW rams through Bradford White contract, ending 47-day strike in MichiganAre you a Bradford White worker? Fill out the form at the end of the article for information on joining the rank-and-file committee. The United Auto Workers shut down the 47-day strike by nearly 1,300 workers at water heater manufacturer…
- Following midterm landslide, Democrats pressed by supporters to deliver on promisesWASHINGTON — As the monumental midterm victories set in, Democrats began to talk strategy Wednesday on how to deliver what voters want: lower prices, attainable health care and an end to a stagnant and expensive conflict in the Middle…
- After landslide win, Democrats now pressed to deliver on promisesAshley Murray and Shauneen Miranda WASHINGTON — As the monumental midterm victories set in, Democrats began to talk strategy Wednesday on how to deliver what voters want: lower prices, attainable health care and an end to a stagnant and…
- Chicago Teachers Union President ‘Talks Strike, Says State Owes $6 Billion’WNY Labor Today - Chicago Teachers Union President ‘Talks Strike, Says State Owes $6 Billion’ - California Strike Vote By Security Workers ‘Threatens To Halt Most Cargo At The Port Of Long Beach’ - IKEA Teamsters ‘Win Eight-Week-Long…
- Blue Tsunami: Watch Zeteo’s Coverage with Mehdi, Prem, Mallory McMorrow, Jamaal Bowman, Rep. Greg Casar, and More!Did you miss Zeteo’s election night live stream? Catch the full replay now and relive the exciting night as results came in! Mehdi and Prem were LIVE from Michigan where Abdul El-Sayed declared victory to become the first Muslim Senator in…
- This week in history: November 2-8Most of the serious criminal charges were dropped against the firefighters, but the episode shattered the facade of national unity and patriotism in the early months of “the war on terror.” 50 years ago: Jimmy Carter Wins 1976 US…
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All states & cities ›Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
55%chance
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 1
Which states will join the National Popular Vote Compact? (Before Nov 7, 2028)
57%Wisconsin
- Wisconsin57%▲ 1
- Arizona56%▲ 8
- Michigan48%▲ 1
2 more
- Nevada36%▲ 1
- Pennsylvania26%▲ 1
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
172.32Mmedian
165.00M195.00M
Median 172.32MMiddle half 170.28M – 174.35M
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
8%Larry Page
- Larry Page8%▲ 3
- Chamath Palihapitiya6%
- Palmer Luckey5%
4 more
- Mark Zuckerberg5%
- Peter Thiel4%
- Marc Andreessen4%
- Jensen Huang4%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions