Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round) (Apr 18, 2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Apr 18, 2028 · $647 today · $16K traded · $8.2K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

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The odds

81%Marine Le Pen
  • Marine Le Pen81%▼ 3
  • Jordan Bardella7%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon4%▼ 1
  • David Lisnard2%
  • Édouard Philippe2%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann1%
  • Gabriel Attal1%
  • Bruno Retailleau1%
  • François Hollande1%
  • Éric Zemmour1%
  • François Ruffin1%
  • Marine Tondelier1%
2 more
  • Dominique de Villepin1%
  • Xavier Bertrand1%

How the odds have moved

Marine Le Pen: 82% on Oct 20, 81% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Marine Le Pen 81% ▼ 3 78¢ 84¢ $1.19 18.2K
Jordan Bardella 7% 4¢ 10¢ $10.00 9.9K
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 4.4K
David Lisnard 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 7.0K
Édouard Philippe 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 4.3K
Raphaël Glucksmann 1% 1¢ $100.00 2.7K
Gabriel Attal 1% 1¢ $100.00 3.1K
Bruno Retailleau 1% 1¢ $100.00 1.6K
François Hollande 1% 1¢ $100.00 1.6K
Éric Zemmour 1% 1¢ $100.00 3.6K
François Ruffin 1% 1¢ $100.00 3.8K
Marine Tondelier 1% 1¢ $100.00 3.5K
Dominique de Villepin 1% 1¢ $100.00 4.0K
Xavier Bertrand 1% 1¢ $100.00 2.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Marine Le Pen, Jordan Bardella, Jean-Luc Mélenchon

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions