UK Nominal GDP in 2026
$4.27median
$3.30$4.60
Median $4.27Middle half $4.21 – $4.35
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Japan Nominal GDP in 2026
The odds
$4.35median
$3.90$5.50
Median $4.35Middle half $4.31 – $4.39
How the odds have moved
Median: $4.29 on Oct 20, $4.35 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4.0 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 1.0K | ||
| Above $4.1 trillion | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | 468 | ||
| Above $4.2 trillion | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 192 | |
| Above $4.3 trillion | 83% | 79¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 1.0K | |
| Above $4.4 trillion | 21% | 16¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 113 | |
| Above $4.5 trillion | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 15.00 | |
| Above $4.6 trillion | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.3K | |
| Above $4.7 trillion | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.8K | |
| Above $4.8 trillion | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 321 | |
| Above $4.9 trillion | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 26.00 | |
| Above $5.0 trillion | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 28.00 | |
| Above $5.1 trillion | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 323 | |
| Above $5.2 trillion | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 49.00 | |
| Above $5.3 trillion | 3% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.3K | ||
| Above $5.4 trillion | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 222 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GDP, economic growth, Japan Nominal GDP
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- Long stretch of London’s Oxford Street now closed to buses, cars and taxis in bid to boost economic growthPart of London’s Oxford St has gone permanently traffic-free in an effort to revitalise the area and create a new public space to boost economic growth. An almost 1km section of Britain’s busiest shopping thoroughfare was now closed to…
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- UK economic growth downgraded to 1% in 2027, Healey says in first budgetLONDON, Oct 28 (Reuters) – Britain’s economy is forecast to grow by 1% next year, finance minister John Healey said on Wednesday, citing the latest projections from the Office for Budget Responsibility. The new figure compared with a…
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Related markets
All growth & recession ›US Nominal GDP in 2026
$32.73median
$28.80$33.20
Median $32.73Middle half $32.63 – $32.85
Australia Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.28median
$1.50$2.80
Median $2.28Middle half $2.06 – $2.46
Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.61median
$2$3.30
Median $2.61Middle half $2.54 – $2.67
Canada Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.47median
$2$3.30
Median $2.47Middle half $2.43 – $2.52
China Nominal GDP in 2026
$21.83median
$19$22.40
Median $21.83Middle half $21.63 – $22.04
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions