Kansas Governor winner? (2027)
>99%Cindy Holscher
- Cindy Holscher>99%
- Ty Masterson<1%
Install
Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?
The odds
92%Florida
- Florida92%
- Vermont6%
- New Hampshire4%▼ 26
- Kansas1%▲ 1
- Alaska<1%
How the odds have moved
Florida: 79% on Oct 20, 92% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 7, 11 PM ETFlorida: 98% → 92%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Nov 3, 11 PM ETFlorida: 68% → 99%
- Oct 29, 9 PM ETFlorida: 81% → 65%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 92% | 92¢ | $1.09 | 2.2K | ||
| Arizona | 12% | ▲ 4 | $8.33 | 41.00 | ||
| Minnesota | 9% | ▲ 4 | $11.11 | 35.00 | ||
| Nevada | 8% | ▲ 4 | $12.50 | 55.00 | ||
| Pennsylvania | 7% | ▲ 2 | $14.29 | 262 | ||
| Vermont | 6% | 93¢ | $1.08 | 76.00 | ||
| Wisconsin | 4% | ▼ 2 | $25.00 | 1.2K | ||
| Ohio | 4% | ▼ 17 | $25.00 | 1.4K | ||
| New Hampshire | 4% | ▼ 26 | 30¢ | $3.33 | 446 | |
| Georgia | 3% | ▼ 30 | $33.33 | 890 | ||
| Michigan | 2% | ▼ 3 | $50.00 | 167 | ||
| Texas | 1% | ▼ 62 | $100.00 | 1.1K | ||
| Iowa | 1% | ▼ 14 | $100.00 | 1.1K | ||
| Kansas | 1% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | $6.25 | 631 | |
| Alaska | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Hampshire
Search ›- New Hampshire U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News New Hampshire U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Turning Point USA volunteer speaks out after being slapped by elderly man at New Hampshire polling placeFox News Turning Point USA volunteer speaks out after being slapped by elderly man at New Hampshire polling place Brothers Rainer and Asher Vesey discuss an elderly man slapping Rainer in the face at a New Hampshire polling place on…
- Rob Gronkowski says New Hampshire Election Day visits not linked to Turning Point USA: "It has been upsetting"November 5, 2026 / 12:13 PM EST / CBS Boston Why was former New England Patriots legend Rob Gronkowski visiting polling places in New Hampshire on Election Day? "Gronk" took to social media on Thursday to knock down claims that it was on…
- Navy sailor surprises niece at New Hampshire schoolCBS News Boston is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBZ-TV and channel 4, CBS News Boston offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Navy sailor surprises…
- New Hampshire Governor resultsLive results for the 2026 New Hampshire Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. New Hampshire Governor results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits…
- New Hampshire election resultsLive results for New Hampshire in the 2026 midterm election. Track U.S. Senate, U.S. House and governor races with real-time vote counts and maps from AP. New Hampshire election results AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for…
- Nicki Minaj Makes Election Day Appearance at New Hampshire Polling SiteThe rapper has continued to be a staunch fan of President Trump and an ally to the Republican Party. Nicki Minaj made an Election Day appearance at a polling station in Derry, N.H., on Tuesday (Nov. 3). The rapper didn’t make any public…
- Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte secures re-election in New HampshireRepublican Gov. Kelly Ayotte has won a second two-year term in New Hampshire, a state that has trended blue at the national level, NBC News projects. Ayotte fended off a challenge from Democrat Cinde Warmington, a former state Executive…
- Kelly Ayotte wins reelection as governor of New HampshireNovember 4, 2026 / 5:58 AM EST / AP Republican Kelly Ayotte won election Wednesday as governor of New Hampshire, defeating Democrat Cinde Warmington. The state elects its governor every two years. Ayotte, a former state attorney general…
- Democrat Chris Pappas wins New Hampshire’s Senate raceBREAKING: Former Gov. Roy Cooper wins North Carolina’s Senate race, flipping the seat for Democrats Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas has won New Hampshire’s Senate race, NBC News projects, defeating Republican John Sununu’s bid to return to…
- New Hampshire U.S. Senate resultsLive results for the 2026 New Hampshire U.S. Senate general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. New Hampshire U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation…
- Chris Pappas wins New Hampshire 2026 Senate electionUpdated on: November 3, 2026 / 8:33 PM EST / CBS News Washington — Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas defeated former GOP Sen. John Sununu in the New Hampshire Senate race, CBS News projects, keeping the seat in Democratic control after Sen…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions