How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional) (2026 midterms)
11%At least 3
29
Install
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?
The odds
2.03median
-0.505.50
Median 2.03Middle half 1.76 – 2.30
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.51 on Oct 19, 2.03 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.6K | |||
| 1 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 6.1K | ||
| 2 | 92% | 16¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 618 | |
| 3 | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.9K | |
| 4 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.0K | ||
| 5 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 331 | ||
| Above 5 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 7.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions