Guatemalan presidential election winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jun 26, 2028 · $151 traded · $147 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

Embed

The odds

30%Neto Bran
  • Neto Bran30%
  • Carlos Pineda17%
  • Roberto Arzú13%
  • Sandra Torres9%
  • Nery Ramos5%
  • Zury Ríos4%
  • Luis Aguirre4%
  • Armando Castillo4%

How the odds have moved

Neto Bran: 58% on Oct 19, 30% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Neto Bran 30% 26¢ 34¢ $2.94 448
Carlos Pineda 17% 13¢ 21¢ $4.76 95.00
Roberto Arzú 13% 8¢ 17¢ $5.88
Sandra Torres 9% 5¢ 13¢ $7.69
Nery Ramos 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11
Zury Ríos 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Luis Aguirre 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Armando Castillo 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Guatemalan, Neto Bran, Carlos Pineda

Search ›
  • Guatemala Nobel ManuscriptsWV News · 6 days agoWV News Laura Perez, an archives technician at the General Archive of Central America, handles a manuscript by Nobel laureate Miguel Ángel Asturias ahead of an exhibition and the repatriation of his remains from France, in Guatemala City…
  • Guatemala’s chocolate legacy, ancient roots and modern delightYahoo News · 9 days agoExplore Guatemala's rich chocolate tradition, from ancient Maya cacao cultivation to modern chocolatiers blending heritage with innovation. Meet artisans preserving this delicious legacy in Chocolá, the heart of cacao farming. Haley…
  • Guatemalan human rights defender Leocadio Juracán visits Unifor picket line in support of transit workers seeking a fair contract in Victoriapbicanada.org · 8 days ago“On day 19 of CCDA representative and Cafe Justicia founder Leocadio Juracan’s cross-Canada tour, he visits a UNIFOR picket line in Victoria to show support for transit drivers seeking a fair contract. UNIFOR is one of four Canadian unions…
  • US Embassy Rebukes Guatemala Mayor’s PartyThe Rio Times · 10 days agoGUATEMALA · US RELATIONS The US Embassy in Guatemala City is Washington’s diplomatic mission and speaks for the US government on its official X account. A “narcoquinceañera” is a coined word that joins narco, meaning drug trafficker, with…
  • Ozarks Senior Gets Front-Row Seat to Guatemalan PoliticsUniversity of the Ozarks · 11 days agoHome / News / Ozarks Senior Gets Front-Row Seat to Guatemalan Politics A passion for politics and public service took University of the Ozarks senior Gabriel Mendoza of Guatemala straight to the halls of his home country’s Congress this…
  • Guatemala Sends Home US$25.4 BillionThe Rio Times · 12 days agoGUATEMALA · FOREIGN POWERS Guatemala foreign powers matter to Americans because a US trade deal signed in January 2026 ties Guatemalan rules to US ones. This guide shows who else brings money to the country and what each one wants. Moving…
  • US Warns Guatemala on Drug Ties Before VoteThe Rio Times · 13 days agoThe United States told Guatemala in a public post that it will not accept drug traffickers or their political protectors. The warning came about ten months before a national election. On Thursday, 13 August 2026, the US Embassy said…
  • Guatemala National Day 15 SeptemberMirage News · 15 days agoWollongong-based online news outlet covering Australia and beyond. If you have anything newsworthy - a story, video or picture to share with us, please email us. The page you're looking for is not available on our current site. To look for…
  • Guatemala Politics Explained, Who Holds Power in 2026The Rio Times · 17 days agoGuatemala politics matters to Americans because this Central American country sits on the drug and migration routes north to the United States. In October 2026 power is split between a president without a majority, a fragmented Congress…
  • Guatemala Wildfire Aircraft Unveiled 23 OctThe Rio Times · 17 days agoGuatemala wildfire aircraft went on show on Friday 23 October 2026, when President Bernardo Arévalo and the top US diplomat in the country presented four planes bought from the United States. Three are firefighting planes and one is a…
  • Without USAID, Guatemala’s Maya Reserve Must Stand on Its OwnThe Xylom · 18 days agoUSAID cuts threaten decades of forest conservation in Guatemala, forcing communities to find new ways to fund their work and protect the forest PETÉN, Guatemala — In the heart of Guatemala’s Maya biosphere reserve, day breaks over the…
  • ICE Agents Filmed Trying to Rip Toddlers from Guatemalan Father’s Arms in ProvidenceDemocracy Now! · 18 days agoIn Providence, Rhode Island, anger is mounting after a video went viral showing ICE agents attempting to arrest a Guatemalan father as he held his two distraught toddlers in his arms. Two agents are seen repeatedly trying to rip the two…

Related markets

All around the world ›
Elections › Around the world

Next French Presidential Election

45%Marine Le Pen
  • Marine Le Pen45%
  • David Lisnard14%▼ 1
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
43 more
  • Édouard Philippe9%▲ 1
  • Christine Lagarde6%▼ 1
  • Teddy Riner3%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann2%
  • Jordan Bardella2%
  • Dominique de Villepin2%
  • François Hollande2%
  • Bruno Retailleau1%
  • Gabriel Attal<1%
  • Éric Zemmour<1%
  • Sarah Knafo<1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%
  • François Baroin<1%
  • Xavier Bertrand<1%
  • Laurent Wauquiez<1%
  • François Ruffin<1%
  • Marine Tondelier<1%
  • Fabien Roussel<1%
  • Olivier Faure<1%
  • Ségolène Royal<1%
  • François Asselineau<1%
  • Clémentine Autain<1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
  • Michel Barnier<1%
  • Valérie Pécresse<1%
  • François Bayrou<1%
  • Élisabeth Borne<1%
  • Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
  • Jean Castex<1%
  • Gérald Darmanin<1%
  • Carole Delga<1%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
  • Manuel Bompard<1%
  • Mathilde Panot<1%
  • Juan Branco<1%
  • Clémence Guetté<1%
  • Karim Bouamrane<1%
  • Lucie Castets<1%
  • Yannick Jadot<1%
  • Marion Maréchal<1%
  • Natacha Polony<1%
  • Anasse Kazib<1%
  • Sylvain Durif<1%
Elections › Around the world

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

63%Gadi Eizenkot
  • Gadi Eizenkot63%
  • Benjamin Netanyahu23%▲ 3
  • Avigdor Lieberman6%▼ 2
19 more
  • Naftali Bennett3%
  • Amir Ohana<1%
  • Yair Lapid<1%
  • Benny Gantz<1%
  • Yossi Cohen<1%
  • Yair Golan<1%
  • Itamar Ben Gvir<1%
  • Gideon Sa’ar<1%
  • Yariv Levin<1%
  • Yoaz Hendel<1%
  • Israel Katz<1%
  • Gilad Erdan<1%
  • Aviv Kohavi<1%
  • Eli Cohen<1%
  • Moshe Feiglin<1%
  • Ayelet Shaked<1%
  • Nir Barkat<1%
  • Ofer Winter<1%
  • Daniel Hagari<1%
Elections › Around the world

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

>99%Luca Niculescu
  • Luca Niculescu>99%▲ 5
  • Mugur Isărescu<1%
  • Mircea Geoană<1%
35 more
  • Anca Dragu<1%
  • Lucian Isar<1%
  • Cătălin Predoiu<1%
  • Sorin Grindeanu<1%
  • George Simion<1%
  • Ilie Bolojan<1%
  • Marcel Ciolacu<1%
  • Alexandru Rafila<1%
  • Sebastian Burduja<1%
  • Ionuț Dumitru<1%
  • Elena Lasconi<1%
  • Cătălin Drulă<1%
  • Vasile Dîncu<1%
  • Dacian Cioloș<1%
  • Emil Boc<1%
  • Dominic Fritz<1%
  • Raluca Turcan<1%
  • Lucian Croitoru<1%
  • Delia Velculescu<1%
  • Nicolae Ciucă<1%
  • Hunor Kelemen<1%
  • Calin Georgescu<1%
  • Radu Burnete<1%
  • Șerban Matei<1%
  • Alexandru Nazare<1%
  • Alexandru Rogobete<1%
  • Dragoș Pîslaru<1%
  • Traian Basescu<1%
  • Dan Motreanu<1%
  • Victor Ponta<1%
  • Ciprian Ciucu<1%
  • Eugen Tomac<1%
  • Siegfried Mureșan<1%
  • Adrian Veștea<1%
  • Leonardo Badea<1%
Elections › Around the world

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

68%Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
  • Lula, Eizenkot, Dems68%▲ 8
  • Lula, Netanyahu, Dems20%▲ 6
  • Lula, Bennett, Dems1%▲ 1
9 more
  • Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps<1%▼ 11
  • Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps<1%▼ 11
  • Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems<1%▼ 12
  • Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems<1%▼ 41
  • Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems<1%▼ 3
  • Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps<1%
  • Lula, Eizenkot, Reps<1%▼ 5
  • Lula, Netanyahu, Reps<1%▼ 5
  • Lula, Bennett, Reps<1%▼ 7

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions