Guayaquil mayoral election winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 29, 2027 · prices read 9 min ago

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The odds

75%Cynthia Viteri
  • Cynthia Viteri75%▼ 1
  • Fiorella Ycaza11%
  • Andrés Roche4%
  • Mónica Luzárraga3%
  • Antonio García3%
  • Susana Santistevan3%
  • Héctor Baldeón3%
  • Pedro Medina3%
  • Francisco Macio3%

How the odds have moved

Cynthia Viteri: 75% on Oct 19, 75% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Cynthia Viteri 75% ▼ 1 75¢ 82¢ $1.22
Fiorella Ycaza 11% 9¢ 17¢ $5.88
Andrés Roche 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50
Mónica Luzárraga 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00
Antonio García 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00
Susana Santistevan 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00
Héctor Baldeón 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00
Pedro Medina 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00
Francisco Macio 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Guayaquil, Cynthia Viteri, Fiorella Ycaza

Search ›
  • Ecuador Holds First Vote Drill Before Nov 29The Rio Times · 7 days agoThe National Electoral Council (CNE), Ecuador's electoral authority, held the first of two national election drills on Sunday, Nov. 1, 2026. The exercise was meant to test equipment and gauge how ready election workers are, as part of our…
  • US issues new warning as Guayaquil enters night curfewThe Traveler · 6 days agoThe United States is urging travelers in Ecuador’s coastal hub of Guayaquil to plan around a new overnight curfew tied to a wider state of emergency. Travelers heading to Ecuador’s largest coastal city, Guayaquil, are being urged to adjust…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions