Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats? (Oct 27, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closed Oct 29 · $841 today · $30.3K traded · $19.2K at stake

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Settled Netanyahu blocA day before, traders gave it 95%.

The last odds before it closed

97%Netanyahu bloc
  • ✓ Netanyahu bloc97%▲ 2
  • Opposition bloc2%

How the odds have moved

Netanyahu bloc: 47% on Oct 19, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Netanyahu bloc 97% 30.3K
✗ Opposition bloc 2% 52.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Knesset

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  • Deri stays at helm of Shas but plans Knesset exitIsrael National News · 5 days agoShas Chairman Aryeh Deri has walked back his intention to resign from the party leadership. Deri met on Wednesday with Rabbi Moshe Maya, the senior member of the Shas Council of Torah Sages, and, following a ruling by the party's…
  • Deri to resign from Knesset, remain Shas chairmanIsrael National News · 5 days agoAryeh Deri met on Wednesday evening with Rabbi Moshe Maya, the senior member of the Shas Council of Torah Sages.It was announced that Deri will resign from the Knesset but will continue to serve as chairman of the party.Read more. Aryeh…
  • Israel's 26th Knesset set to be inaugurated Nov. 10Israel & Jewish News - JNS · 6 days agoJNS provides comprehensive Israel and Jewish news coverage, features, and analysis to print and digital publications across the globe. Israel’s 26th Knesset is set to convene for its inaugural session on Tuesday, Nov. 10, at 4 p.m., when…
  • Israel's Central Elections Committee approves Knesset election resultsشبكة تواصل الإخبارية · 6 days agoThe leadership of Israel’s Central Elections Committee has approved the results of the October 27 elections to the Knesset (the unicameral parliament). This was reported by the N12 television channel. According to its information, three…
  • Israel EC Rejects Netanyahu’s Claim of Election Fraud in Knesset Pollsdeccanchronicle.com · 6 days agoJerusalem: Israel’s election commission said Wednesday it has found no fraud in last week’s vote, dealing a blow to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s attempts to discredit the results. Netanyahu and his supporters have repeatedly made…
  • Isaac Herzog receives Knesset election results, begins mandate negotiationsThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 6 days agoPresident Isaac Herzog received the official election results from Central Elections Committee chairman Justice Noam Sohlberg on Wednesday, ahead of consultations with party representatives on whom they recommend to form the next…
  • The 120 members of the new Knesset – Who is who?Israel Today · 6 days agoToday, President Isaac Herzog will be handed the official election results. Eleven parties will enter the new Knesset – we introduce all 120 elected members of parliament. Israel has voted. Today, President Isaac Herzog will receive the…
  • How Israel divides its 120 Knesset seatsJFeed · 6 days agoAtty. Avraham Yustman, Central Elections Committee member for Agudas Yisrael, walks through the complex formula that turns votes into mandates and shows how UTJ won seven seats while Shas took six Once the votes are counted, Israel moves…
  • 2026 Israeli Knesset elections; their implications for Israel- Middle EastANHA · 6 days agoThe results announced by the Central Elections Committee, following the completion of the vote count, and set to be officially declared today show that the Likud party, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, secured 27 seats. The "Yeshar" party, led…
  • Israeli opposition backs Eisenkot, vows to act on 'clear' Knesset majorityIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 6 days agoIsrael’s opposition leaders agreed on Tuesday to coordinate efforts aimed at “realizing the clear parliamentary majority in the Knesset,” starting immediately after lawmakers are sworn in on Nov. 10. Meeting in Herzliya, the leaders…
  • Herzog to receive official results, start consultations with Knesset factionsIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 6 days agoIsraeli President Isaac Herzog will receive the official results of the elections for the 26th Knesset from the Central Elections Committee chairman Justice Noam Sohlberg at 12 p.m. on Wednesday, in accordance with procedure and Israeli…
  • Knesset asks High Court to close challenges to academic gender-segregation lawThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 6 days agoThe Knesset asked the High Court of Justice on Tuesday to remove from its docket two petitions against the law expanding gender-segregated academic studies, arguing that the challenges should not proceed before the Council for Higher…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions