Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 27, 2027 · $23.1K today · $1.7M traded · $703K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

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The odds

54%Gadi Eizenkot
  • Gadi Eizenkot54%▼ 3
  • Benjamin Netanyahu10%▲ 1
  • Avigdor Lieberman5%
  • Naftali Bennett1%
  • Yair Lapid1%
  • Benny Gantz1%
  • Yariv Levin1%
  • Yair Golan1%
  • Itamar Ben Gvir1%
  • Yossi Cohen1%
  • Israel Katz1%
  • Gideon Sa'ar1%
6 more
  • Ayelet Shaked1%
  • Amir Ohana1%
  • Moshe Feiglin1%
  • Yoaz Hendel1%
  • Nir Barkat1%
  • Yuli Edelstein1%

How the odds have moved

Gadi Eizenkot: 44% on Oct 20, 54% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 4, 11 PM ETGadi Eizenkot: 36% → 43%
  2. Oct 29, 11 PM ETGadi Eizenkot: 14% → 28%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Gadi Eizenkot 54% ▼ 3 53¢ 54¢ $1.85 1.9M
Benjamin Netanyahu 10% ▲ 1 9¢ 11¢ $9.09 6.8M
Avigdor Lieberman 5% 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 614.0K
Naftali Bennett 1% 1¢ $100.00 446.2K
Yair Lapid 1% 1¢ $100.00 8.3K
Benny Gantz 1% 1¢ $100.00 3.2K
Yariv Levin 1% 1¢ $100.00 1.00
Yair Golan 1% 1¢ $100.00 2.1K
Itamar Ben Gvir 1% 1¢ $100.00 20.5K
Yossi Cohen 1% 1¢ $100.00 343
Israel Katz 1% 1¢ $100.00 5.6K
Gideon Sa'ar 1% 1¢ $100.00 78.00
Ayelet Shaked 1% 1¢ $100.00 1.6K
Amir Ohana 1% 1¢ $100.00 15.0K
Moshe Feiglin 1% 1¢ $100.00 435
Yoaz Hendel 1% 1¢ $100.00 1.0K
Nir Barkat 1% 1¢ $100.00 1.00
Yuli Edelstein 1% 1¢ $100.00 215

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Israel, Gaza, Netanyahu

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions