How many Knesset seats will Israel's next government hold?

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 28, 2027 · $149 today · $230 traded · $217 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

Embed

The odds

61median
4074
Median 61

How the odds have moved

Median: 61 on Nov 6, 61 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 45 70% ▲ 3 65¢ 75¢ $1.33 300
At least 50 65% ▲ 3 60¢ 70¢ $1.43
At least 55 61% ▲ 2 57¢ 64¢ $1.56 15.00
At least 61 50% ▲ 1 46¢ 54¢ $1.85 18.00
At least 66 24% ▲ 1 20¢ 27¢ $3.70 6.00
At least 70 11% ▲ 1 6¢ 15¢ $6.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Israel, Gaza, Netanyahu

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions